Prediction market inventories for Africa and Latin America topics are shaped more by settlement legibility than by public salience, with sports and elections favored over conflicts.
Repugnance as a Constraint on Markets
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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Centralized matching mechanisms outperform free negotiation in stability and efficiency with LLM agents, who also report preferences truthfully more often than humans, though not always in line with strategy-proofness predictions.
citing papers explorer
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What Prediction Markets Can See: Market Formation, Settlement Legibility, and the Geography of Tradable Uncertainty in Africa and Latin America
Prediction market inventories for Africa and Latin America topics are shaped more by settlement legibility than by public salience, with sports and elections favored over conflicts.
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Do Matching Mechanisms Work with LLM Agents?
Centralized matching mechanisms outperform free negotiation in stability and efficiency with LLM agents, who also report preferences truthfully more often than humans, though not always in line with strategy-proofness predictions.