Primordial Black Holes from Slow Phase Transitions with Delayed Reheating: A Peak-Theory Approach
Pith reviewed 2026-06-27 16:08 UTC · model grok-4.3
The pith
A slow first-order phase transition with delayed reheating can generate enough primordial black holes to comprise all dark matter, with the abundance varying by many orders of magnitude for small changes in reheating efficiency.
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
Core claim
During the early matter-dominated era created by delayed reheating after a slow first-order phase transition, the non-Gaussian overdensity distribution permits significant PBH formation; Monte Carlo evaluation of the hoop-conjecture collapse threshold shows that the collapse fraction is extremely sensitive to reheating efficiency, with order-unity efficiency changes producing many orders of magnitude variation in abundance, and that viable parameter regions exist in which the resulting PBHs account for all dark matter while also satisfying current observational bounds.
What carries the argument
The peak-theoretic approach to collapse during the early matter-dominated phase, which models the non-Gaussian overdensity statistics from the phase transition and applies the hoop-conjecture criterion inside Monte Carlo simulations to obtain the collapse probability.
If this is right
- The PBH abundance changes by many orders of magnitude when the reheating efficiency varies by order unity.
- Regions of parameter space exist in which PBHs produced by this channel constitute the entire dark matter density.
- The average initial spin parameter of the resulting PBHs is of order 10 to the minus 3.
- Current data on the presence or absence of PBHs can be used to constrain the phase transition strength and the duration of delayed reheating.
Where Pith is reading between the lines
- The same sensitivity to reheating efficiency may translate into distinct gravitational-wave signatures from the phase transition or from PBH binaries that could be tested by future detectors.
- Precision measurements of the dark matter density or of small-scale PBH clustering could provide an independent test of the predicted collapse threshold dependence on transition parameters.
- The peak-theory treatment developed here could be applied to other early-universe sources of non-Gaussian overdensities, such as those arising from inflationary features.
Load-bearing premise
The overdensity field generated by the slow phase transition follows a non-Gaussian distribution whose statistics are fully captured by peak theory, and the hoop-conjecture criterion supplies a reliable collapse threshold throughout the early matter-dominated phase.
What would settle it
A measured primordial black hole abundance that fails to exhibit the predicted extreme sensitivity to order-unity changes in reheating efficiency would falsify the central claim.
read the original abstract
We study the possibility of significant PBH production from a slow first-order phase transition with delayed reheating. Since delayed reheating results in an early matter-dominated phase between percolation and reheating, we developed a peak-theoretic approach to PBH formation during this phase based on the non-Gaussian distribution of overdensity arising from the transition. To obtain the collapse probability, we performed large-scale Monte Carlo simulations and employed the hoop-conjecture criterion. We include tidal-torque terms to investigate the initial spin of the PBHs and find that the average spin parameter is $\mathcal{O}(10^{-3})$. Furthermore, we obtain an emergent overdensity threshold for collapse that depends on the phase transition properties and reheating efficiency. We find that the resulting PBH abundance is extremely sensitive to the reheating efficiency, with order-unity changes in efficiency leading to variations of many orders of magnitude in the collapse fraction. We identify regions of parameter space where the resulting PBHs can account for the entirety of the dark matter abundance. Finally, we also constrain the phase transition and reheating properties from current data on (non-)observations of PBHs.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The manuscript investigates primordial black hole (PBH) production during slow first-order phase transitions with delayed reheating, which induces an early matter-dominated phase. It develops a peak-theory framework for the non-Gaussian overdensity field, uses Monte Carlo simulations with the hoop-conjecture to compute collapse probabilities, accounts for tidal torques yielding average PBH spin of O(10^{-3}), identifies an emergent collapse threshold depending on transition parameters and reheating efficiency, shows that PBH abundance is highly sensitive to reheating efficiency with order-unity changes causing orders-of-magnitude variations in collapse fraction, finds parameter regions where PBHs can comprise all dark matter, and places constraints from PBH (non-)observations.
Significance. Should the central results hold, the work provides a new mechanism linking phase transition dynamics and reheating to PBH dark matter, with the extreme sensitivity offering testable implications for cosmology. The Monte Carlo approach and inclusion of spin are positive aspects. The reported ability to account for all dark matter in some regions would be a notable result if the collapse modeling is robust.
major comments (2)
- [Monte Carlo simulations and hoop-conjecture criterion] Monte Carlo simulations section (hoop-conjecture application): the collapse fraction is obtained by applying the hoop-conjecture criterion to the non-Gaussian overdensity field in the early matter-dominated phase. The paper extracts an emergent threshold depending on transition parameters and reheating efficiency, but provides no independent cross-check (e.g., compaction-function analysis or numerical-relativity validation) that the hoop criterion remains quantitatively reliable when pressure support is absent. Because the abundance varies by many orders of magnitude with O(1) changes in efficiency, even a modest systematic shift in the effective threshold would move the viable DM parameter space.
- [Peak-theory approach] Peak-theory approach (non-Gaussian overdensity): the claim that the overdensity statistics are fully captured by the peak-theory formalism rests on the assumption that the distribution generated by the slow phase transition can be modeled without additional corrections from the prolonged matter-dominated era. The manuscript should explicitly show how the peak-theory parameters are derived from the transition dynamics and reheating efficiency, as this directly controls the Monte Carlo inputs and the reported sensitivity.
minor comments (2)
- [Spin calculation] The abstract states that the average spin parameter is O(10^{-3}); the main text should define the precise spin parameter used (e.g., dimensionless Kerr parameter) and report its distribution or variance.
- Figure captions for the Monte Carlo results should include the number of realizations performed and any convergence tests performed on the collapse fraction.
Simulated Author's Rebuttal
We thank the referee for the careful reading of our manuscript and the constructive comments. We address the two major comments point by point below. Where appropriate we have revised the text to improve clarity and acknowledge limitations.
read point-by-point responses
-
Referee: [Monte Carlo simulations and hoop-conjecture criterion] Monte Carlo simulations section (hoop-conjecture application): the collapse fraction is obtained by applying the hoop-conjecture criterion to the non-Gaussian overdensity field in the early matter-dominated phase. The paper extracts an emergent threshold depending on transition parameters and reheating efficiency, but provides no independent cross-check (e.g., compaction-function analysis or numerical-relativity validation) that the hoop criterion remains quantitatively reliable when pressure support is absent. Because the abundance varies by many orders of magnitude with O(1) changes in efficiency, even a modest systematic shift in the effective threshold would move the viable DM parameter space.
Authors: We appreciate the referee's concern about the quantitative reliability of the hoop-conjecture criterion in a pressureless environment. The hoop conjecture is a standard geometric criterion employed in the PBH literature for matter-dominated collapse (see e.g. references in our Sec. 4). Our Monte Carlo implementation extracts an emergent, parameter-dependent threshold directly from the simulated non-Gaussian field, which already incorporates the effects of the prolonged matter era. Nevertheless, we acknowledge that an independent compaction-function or numerical-relativity cross-check would strengthen the result. Performing such simulations lies outside the scope of the present work; we will therefore add an explicit discussion of this modeling limitation and the associated systematic uncertainty in the revised manuscript. revision: partial
-
Referee: [Peak-theory approach] Peak-theory approach (non-Gaussian overdensity): the claim that the overdensity statistics are fully captured by the peak-theory formalism rests on the assumption that the distribution generated by the slow phase transition can be modeled without additional corrections from the prolonged matter-dominated era. The manuscript should explicitly show how the peak-theory parameters are derived from the transition dynamics and reheating efficiency, as this directly controls the Monte Carlo inputs and the reported sensitivity.
Authors: The peak-theory parameters are derived in Sec. 3 from the bubble nucleation rate and the duration of the matter-dominated phase set by the reheating efficiency. The overdensity field is constructed as a superposition of contributions from randomly nucleated bubbles, yielding a non-Gaussian distribution whose peak statistics are then computed analytically before being fed into the Monte Carlo. We agree that the derivation can be presented more transparently; we will add a dedicated subsection (or short appendix) that walks through the mapping from transition parameters to the peak-theory inputs, making the connection to the reported sensitivity explicit. revision: yes
Circularity Check
No significant circularity detected
full rationale
The derivation proceeds by applying peak theory to a non-Gaussian overdensity field generated by the slow phase transition, then using Monte Carlo simulations with the hoop-conjecture criterion to extract collapse probabilities and an emergent threshold that depends on transition parameters and reheating efficiency. The resulting PBH abundance is computed from these quantities and shown to be sensitive to the efficiency parameter. No equation or step quoted in the provided text reduces the abundance, threshold, or collapse fraction to a definitional identity with the inputs; the numerical extraction supplies independent content, and the sensitivity is an output of the calculation rather than a self-referential fit. The chain remains self-contained against the stated assumptions and external criterion.
Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger
free parameters (1)
- reheating efficiency
axioms (2)
- domain assumption Hoop-conjecture criterion determines collapse of overdense regions
- domain assumption Overdensity field from slow phase transition is non-Gaussian
Reference graph
Works this paper leans on
-
[1]
Zel’dovich and I.D
Y.B. Zel’dovich and I.D. Novikov,The Hypothesis of Cores Retarded during Expansion and the Hot Cosmological Model,Sov. Astron.10(1967) 602
1967
-
[2]
Carr and S.W
B.J. Carr and S.W. Hawking,Black holes in the early Universe,Mon. Not. Roy. Astron. Soc. 168(1974) 399
1974
-
[3]
B.J. Carr, K. Kohri, Y. Sendouda and J. Yokoyama,New cosmological constraints on primordial black holes,Phys. Rev. D81(2010) 104019 [0912.5297]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2010
-
[4]
B. Carr, F. Kuhnel and M. Sandstad,Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter,Phys. Rev. D94 (2016) 083504 [1607.06077]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2016
-
[5]
B. Carr, M. Raidal, T. Tenkanen, V. Vaskonen and H. Veerm¨ ae,Primordial black hole constraints for extended mass functions,Phys. Rev. D96(2017) 023514 [1705.05567]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2017
-
[6]
B. Carr, K. Kohri, Y. Sendouda and J. Yokoyama,Constraints on primordial black holes,Rept. Prog. Phys.84(2021) 116902 [2002.12778]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2021
-
[7]
Ivanov, P
P. Ivanov, P. Naselsky and I. Novikov,Inflation and primordial black holes as dark matter, Phys. Rev. D50(1994) 7173
1994
-
[8]
Kodama, M
H. Kodama, M. Sasaki and K. Sato,Abundance of Primordial Holes Produced by Cosmological First Order Phase Transition,Prog. Theor. Phys.68(1982) 1979
1982
-
[9]
Hsu,Black Holes From Extended Inflation,Phys
S.D.H. Hsu,Black Holes From Extended Inflation,Phys. Lett. B251(1990) 343
1990
-
[10]
J. Liu, L. Bian, R.-G. Cai, Z.-K. Guo and S.-J. Wang,Primordial black hole production during first-order phase transitions,Phys. Rev. D105(2022) L021303 [2106.05637]
arXiv 2022
-
[11]
K. Hashino, S. Kanemura and T. Takahashi,Primordial black holes as a probe of strongly first-order electroweak phase transition,Phys. Lett. B833(2022) 137261 [2111.13099]
arXiv 2022
-
[12]
T.H. Jung and T. Okui,Primordial black holes from bubble collisions during a first-order phase transition,Phys. Rev. D110(2024) 115014 [2110.04271]
arXiv 2024
- [13]
-
[14]
M. Lewicki, P. Toczek and V. Vaskonen,Primordial black holes from strong first-order phase transitions,JHEP09(2023) 092 [2305.04924]
arXiv 2023
-
[15]
Y. Gouttenoire and T. Volansky,Primordial black holes from supercooled phase transitions, Phys. Rev. D110(2024) 043514 [2305.04942]. – 17 –
arXiv 2024
-
[16]
I. Baldes and M.O. Olea-Romacho,Primordial black holes as dark matter: interferometric tests of phase transition origin,JHEP01(2024) 133 [2307.11639]
arXiv 2024
-
[17]
Y. Gouttenoire,First-Order Phase Transition Interpretation of Pulsar Timing Array Signal Is Consistent with Solar-Mass Black Holes,Phys. Rev. Lett.131(2023) 171404 [2307.04239]
arXiv 2023
-
[18]
A. Salvio,Supercooling in Radiative Symmetry Breaking: Theory Extensions, Gravitational Wave Detection and Primordial Black Holes,JCAP12(2023) 046 [2307.04694]
arXiv 2023
-
[19]
Gouttenoire,Primordial black holes from conformal Higgs,Phys
Y. Gouttenoire,Primordial black holes from conformal Higgs,Phys. Lett. B855(2024) 138800 [2311.13640]
arXiv 2024
- [20]
-
[21]
I.K. Banerjee and U.K. Dey,Spinning primordial black holes from first order phase transition, JHEP07(2024) 006 [2311.03406]
arXiv 2024
- [22]
-
[23]
M. Lewicki, P. Toczek and V. Vaskonen,Black Holes and Gravitational Waves from Slow First-Order Phase Transitions,Phys. Rev. Lett.133(2024) 221003 [2402.04158]
arXiv 2024
-
[24]
M. Lewicki, P. Toczek and V. Vaskonen,Black holes and gravitational waves from phase transitions in realistic models,Phys. Dark Univ.50(2025) 102075 [2412.10366]
arXiv 2025
-
[25]
W.-Y. Ai, L. Heurtier and T.H. Jung,Primordial black holes from an interrupted phase transition,Phys. Rev. D113(2026) 023542 [2409.02175]
arXiv 2026
- [26]
-
[27]
S. Kanemura, M. Tanaka and K.-P. Xie,Primordial black holes from slow phase transitions: a model-building perspective,JHEP06(2024) 036 [2404.00646]
arXiv 2024
-
[28]
I.K. Banerjee, F. Rescigno and A. Salvio,Primordial black holes (as dark matter) from the supercooled phase transitions with radiative symmetry breaking,JCAP07(2025) 007 [2412.06889]
arXiv 2025
-
[29]
K. Hashino, S. Kanemura, T. Takahashi, M. Tanaka and C.-M. Yoo,Super-critical primordial black hole formation via delayed first-order electroweak phase transition,JCAP09(2025) 006 [2501.11040]
arXiv 2025
- [30]
-
[31]
I.K. Banerjee, U.K. Dey and S. Khalil,Primordial Black Holes and Gravitational Waves in the U(1) B−L extended inert doublet model: a first-order phase transition perspective,JHEP12 (2024) 009 [2406.12518]
arXiv 2024
-
[32]
K. Kawana and K.-P. Xie,Primordial black holes from a cosmic phase transition: The collapse of Fermi-balls,Phys. Lett. B824(2022) 136791 [2106.00111]
arXiv 2022
-
[33]
J.B. Dent, B. Dutta, J. Kumar and D. Marfatia,Primordial black holes from Q-balls produced in a first-order phase transition,2505.21830
-
[34]
H. Deng, J. Garriga and A. Vilenkin,Primordial black hole and wormhole formation by domain walls,JCAP04(2017) 050 [1612.03753]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2017
-
[35]
H. Deng and A. Vilenkin,Primordial black hole formation by vacuum bubbles,JCAP12(2017) 044 [1710.02865]. – 18 –
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2017
-
[36]
Deng,Primordial black hole formation by vacuum bubbles
H. Deng,Primordial black hole formation by vacuum bubbles. Part II,JCAP09(2020) 023 [2006.11907]
arXiv 2020
-
[37]
Y. Gouttenoire and E. Vitagliano,Primordial black holes and wormholes from domain wall networks,Phys. Rev. D109(2024) 123507 [2311.07670]
arXiv 2024
-
[38]
Hawking,Black Holes From Cosmic Strings,Phys
S.W. Hawking,Black Holes From Cosmic Strings,Phys. Lett. B231(1989) 237
1989
-
[39]
Polnarev and R
A. Polnarev and R. Zembowicz,Formation of Primordial Black Holes by Cosmic Strings,Phys. Rev. D43(1991) 1106
1991
-
[40]
Caprini et al.,Science with the space-based interferometer eLISA
C. Caprini et al.,Science with the space-based interferometer eLISA. II: Gravitational waves from cosmological phase transitions,JCAP04(2016) 001 [1512.06239]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2016
-
[41]
C. Caprini et al.,Detecting gravitational waves from cosmological phase transitions with LISA: an update,JCAP03(2020) 024 [1910.13125]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2020
-
[42]
J. Ellis, M. Lewicki, J.M. No and V. Vaskonen,Gravitational wave energy budget in strongly supercooled phase transitions,JCAP06(2019) 024 [1903.09642]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2019
-
[43]
I.K. Banerjee and U.K. Dey,Probing the origin of primordial black holes through novel gravitational wave spectrum,JCAP07(2023) 024 [2305.07569]
arXiv 2023
-
[44]
I.K. Banerjee and U.K. Dey,Gravitational wave probe of primordial black hole origin via superradiance,JCAP04(2024) 049 [2311.02876]
arXiv 2024
-
[45]
G. Franciolini, Y. Gouttenoire and R. Jinno,Curvature Perturbations from First-Order Phase Transitions: Implications to Black Holes and Gravitational Waves,Phys. Rev. Lett.136(2026) 171404 [2503.01962]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2026
-
[46]
X. Wang, C. Bal´ azs, R. Ding and C. Tian,How large are curvature perturbations from slow first-order phase transitions? A gauge-invariant analysis,2601.14412
-
[47]
W.-Y. Ai and K.-P. Xie,Reviving primordial black hole formation in slow first-order phase transitions,2605.11332
-
[48]
A. Escriv` a,PBH Formation from Spherically Symmetric Hydrodynamical Perturbations: A Review,Universe8(2022) 66 [2111.12693]
arXiv 2022
-
[49]
I. Musco,Threshold for primordial black holes: Dependence on the shape of the cosmological perturbations,Phys. Rev. D100(2019) 123524 [1809.02127]
arXiv 2019
-
[50]
A. Escriv` a, C. Germani and R.K. Sheth,Universal threshold for primordial black hole formation,Phys. Rev. D101(2020) 044022 [1907.13311]
arXiv 2020
-
[51]
T. Hambye, A. Strumia and D. Teresi,Super-cool Dark Matter,JHEP08(2018) 188 [1805.01473]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2018
-
[52]
W. Ye, Y. Gong, T. Harada, Z. Kang, K. Kohri, D. Saito et al.,Primordial black hole formation and spin in matter domination revisited,Phys. Rev. D112(2025) 103524 [2508.10070]
arXiv 2025
-
[53]
Zeldovich,Gravitational instability: An Approximate theory for large density perturbations,Astron
Y.B. Zeldovich,Gravitational instability: An Approximate theory for large density perturbations,Astron. Astrophys.5(1970) 84
1970
-
[54]
Misner, K.S
C.W. Misner, K.S. Thorne and J.A. Wheeler,Gravitation, W. H. Freeman, San Francisco (1973)
1973
-
[55]
Bardeen, J.R
J.M. Bardeen, J.R. Bond, N. Kaiser and A.S. Szalay,The Statistics of Peaks of Gaussian Random Fields,Astrophys. J.304(1986) 15
1986
-
[56]
B. Carr, K. Dimopoulos, C. Owen and T. Tenkanen,Primordial Black Hole Formation During Slow Reheating After Inflation,Phys. Rev. D97(2018) 123535 [1804.08639]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2018
-
[57]
B.J. Carr, K. Kohri, Y. Sendouda and J. Yokoyama,Constraints on primordial black holes from the Galactic gamma-ray background,Phys. Rev. D94(2016) 044029 [1604.05349]. – 19 – [58]Planckcollaboration,Planck 2018 results. VI. Cosmological parameters,Astron. Astrophys. 641(2020) A6 [1807.06209]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2016
-
[58]
Dodelson and F
S. Dodelson and F. Schmidt,Modern Cosmology, Academic Press (2020)
2020
-
[59]
L. Zhang, X. Chen, M. Kamionkowski, Z.-g. Si and Z. Zheng,Constraints on radiative dark-matter decay from the cosmic microwave background,Phys. Rev. D76(2007) 061301 [0704.2444]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2007
-
[60]
J.A. Adams, S. Sarkar and D.W. Sciama,CMB anisotropy in the decaying neutrino cosmology, Mon. Not. Roy. Astron. Soc.301(1998) 210 [astro-ph/9805108]. [62]EGRETcollaboration,EGRET observations of the extragalactic gamma-ray emission, Astrophys. J.494(1998) 523 [astro-ph/9709257]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 1998
-
[61]
Wright,On the density of pbh’s in the galactic halo,Astrophys
E.L. Wright,On the density of pbh’s in the galactic halo,Astrophys. J.459(1996) 487 [astro-ph/9509074]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 1996
-
[62]
MacGibbon and B.J
J.H. MacGibbon and B.J. Carr,Cosmic rays from primordial black holes,Astrophys. J.371 (1991) 447
1991
-
[63]
M. Boudaud and M. Cirelli,Voyager 1e ± Further Constrain Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter,Phys. Rev. Lett.122(2019) 041104 [1807.03075]
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2019
-
[64]
H. Niikura et al.,Microlensing constraints on primordial black holes with Subaru/HSC Andromeda observations,Nature Astron.3(2019) 524 [1701.02151]. – 20 –
Pith/arXiv arXiv 2019
discussion (0)
Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.