pith. sign in

arxiv: math/0702769 · v1 · submitted 2007-02-26 · 🧮 math.ST · stat.TH

On prediction errors in regression models with nonstationary regressors

classification 🧮 math.ST stat.TH
keywords errorleastpredictionsquaresasymptoticcorrelationexpressionsmodel
0
0 comments X
read the original abstract

In this article asymptotic expressions for the final prediction error (FPE) and the accumulated prediction error (APE) of the least squares predictor are obtained in regression models with nonstationary regressors. It is shown that the term of order $1/n$ in FPE and the term of order $\log n$ in APE share the same constant, where $n$ is the sample size. Since the model includes the random walk model as a special case, these asymptotic expressions extend some of the results in Wei (1987) and Ing (2001). In addition, we also show that while the FPE of the least squares predictor is not affected by the contemporary correlation between the innovations in input and output variables, the mean squared error of the least squares estimate does vary with this correlation.

This paper has not been read by Pith yet.

discussion (0)

Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.