A Quadruply Lensed SN Ia: Gaining a Time-Delay...Losing a Standard Candle

We investigate the flux ratio anomalies between macro-model predictions and the observed brightness of the supernova iPTF16geu, as published in a recent paper by More et al., 2017. This group suggested that these discrepancies are, qualitatively, likely due to microlensing. We analyze the plausibility of attributing this discrepancy to microlensing, and find that the discrepancy is too large to be due to microlensing alone. This is true whether one assumes knowledge of the luminosity of the supernova or allows the luminosity to be a free parameter. Varying the dark/stellar ratio likewise doesn't help. In addition, other macro-models with quadruplicity from external shear or ellipticity do not significantly improve to model. Finally, microlensing also makes it difficult to accurately determine the standard candle brightness of the supernova, as the likelihood plot for the intrinsic magnitude of the source (for a perfect macro-model) has a full width half maximum of 0.73 magnitudes. As such, the error for the standard candle brightness is quite large. This reduces the utility of the standard candle nature of type Ia supernovae.