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Convergence of Adapted Empirical Measures on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$

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arxiv 2211.10162 v2 pith:74NUIB3V submitted 2022-11-18 math.PR

classification math.PR
keywords adaptedconvergenceempiricalerrorundermeasuremeasuresassumptions
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abstract

We consider empirical measures of $\R^{d}$-valued stochastic process in finite discrete-time. We show that the adapted empirical measure introduced in the recent work \cite{backhoff2022estimating} by Backhoff et al. in compact spaces can be defined analogously on $\R^{d}$, and that it converges almost surely to the underlying measure under the adapted Wasserstein distance. Moreover, we quantitatively analyze the convergence of the adapted Wasserstein \add{distance} between those two measures. We establish convergence rates of the expected error as well as the deviation error under different moment conditions. \add{Under suitable integrability and kernel assumptions, we recover the optimal convergence rates of both expected error and deviation error.} Furthermore, we propose a modification of the adapted empirical measure with \add{projection} on a non-uniform grid, which obtains the same convergence rate but under weaker assumptions.

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    In continuous time, the Aldous, Hoover-Keisler, Hellwig, and optimal-stopping topologies on naturally filtered processes coincide and are metrized by an adapted Wasserstein distance, whose completion is the space of g...

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