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Reduced uncertainties up to 43\% on the Hubble constant and the matter density with the SNe Ia with a new statistical analysis

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arxiv 2303.06974 v3 pith:ID4XCN4I submitted 2023-03-13 astro-ph.CO astro-ph.HE

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keywords textitpantheoncosmologicalparameterscosmologyuncertaintiesassumptionconstraining
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abstract

Type Ia Supernovae (SNe Ia) are considered the most reliable \textit{standard candles} and they have played an invaluable role in cosmology since the discovery of the Universe's accelerated expansion. During the last decades, the SNe Ia samples have been improved in number, redshift coverage, calibration methodology, and systematics treatment. These efforts led to the most recent \textit{``Pantheon"} (2018) and \textit{``Pantheon +"} (2022) releases, which enable to constrain cosmological parameters more precisely than previous samples. In this era of precision cosmology, the community strives to find new ways to reduce uncertainties on cosmological parameters. To this end, we start our investigation even from the likelihood assumption of Gaussianity, implicitly used in this domain. Indeed, the usual practise involves constraining parameters through a Gaussian distance moduli likelihood. This method relies on the implicit assumption that the difference between the distance moduli measured and the ones expected from the cosmological model is Gaussianly distributed. In this work, we test this hypothesis for both the \textit{Pantheon} and \textit{Pantheon +} releases. We find that in both cases this requirement is not fulfilled and the actual underlying distributions are a logistic and a Student's t distribution for the \textit{Pantheon} and \textit{Pantheon +} data, respectively. When we apply these new likelihoods fitting a flat $\Lambda$CDM model, we significantly reduce the uncertainties on $\Omega_M$ and $H_0$ of $\sim 40 \%$. This boosts the SNe Ia power in constraining cosmological parameters, thus representing a huge step forward to shed light on the current debated tensions in cosmology.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. A $\Lambda$CDM Extension Explaining the Hubble Tension and the Spatial Curvature $\Omega_{k,0} = -0.012 \pm 0.010$ Measured by the Final PR4 of the Planck Mission

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 reject novelty 5.0 of 10

    A dark-energy equation of state that starts at about -0.8 and evolves to -0.9 through void backreaction is fitted to the Planck CMB and local H0, yielding a spatial curvature of -0.0197 in the owCDM variant.

  2. Determination of cosmic curvature independent of the sound horizon and $H_0$ using BOSS/eBOSS and DESI DR1 BAO observations

    astro-ph.CO 2024-11 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    Using BOSS/eBOSS and DESI DR1 BAO data plus cosmic chronometers, the authors obtain Omega_K = -0.040 (+0.142 / -0.145) with Gaussian-process reconstruction, consistent with a flat universe.

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