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Cosmic Cousins: Identification of a Subpopulation of Binary Black Holes Consistent with Isolated Binary Evolution

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arxiv 2304.01288 v2 pith:VBVWUY4E submitted 2023-04-03 astro-ph.HE gr-qc

classification astro-ph.HEgr-qc
keywords binaryformationmassodotcatalogcompactconsistentobservations
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abstract

Observations of gravitational waves (GWs) from merging compact binaries have become a regular occurrence. The continued advancement of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration detectors have now produced a catalog of over 90 such mergers, from which we can begin to uncover the formation history of merging compact binaries. In this work, we search for subpopulations in the LVK's third gravitational wave transient catalog (GWTC-3) by incorporating discrete latent variables in the hierarchical Bayesian inference framework to probabilistically assign each BBH observation into separate categories associated with distinctly different population distributions. By incorporating formation channel knowledge within the mass and spin correlations found in each category, we find an over density of mergers with a primary mass of $\sim10 M_\odot$, consistent with isolated binary formation. This low-mass subpopulation has a spin magnitude distribution peaking at $a_\mathrm{peak}=0.16^{0.19}_{-0.16}$, exhibits spins preferentially aligned with the binary's orbital angular momentum, is constrained by $15^{+0.0}_{-1.0}$ of our observations, and contributes $82\%^{+8.0\%}_{-16\%}$ to the overall population of BBHs. Additionally, we find that the component of the mass distribution containing the previously identified $35M_\odot$ peak has spins consistent with the $10M_\odot$ events, with $99\%$ of primary masses less than $m_{1,99\%} = 49^{+25}_{-8.1} M_\odot$, providing an estimate of the lower edge of the theorized pair instability mass gap. This work is a first step in gaining a deeper understanding of compact binary formation and evolution, and will provide more robust conclusions as the catalog of observations becomes larger.

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Cited by 11 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

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    A GPU-accelerated binned Gaussian process yields the first model-agnostic 4D BBH population in (m1, q, χeff, χp), revealing four mass-based subpopulations and new spin-mass-ratio correlations.

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    A unified error statistic E-hat measures information lost to Monte Carlo noise in hierarchical Bayesian inference, with a recommended cutoff of 0.2 bits.

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    A flexible six-component fit to 259 LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA black-hole mergers finds a roughly geometric sequence of mass peaks but no aligned-spin signal except in the lowest-mass component.

  4. Characterizing Binary Black Hole Subpopulations in GWTC-4 with Binned Gaussian Processes: On the Origins of the $35M_{\odot}$ Peak

    astro-ph.HE 2025-11 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    In GWTC-4, only the subpopulation near 35 M_sun is equal-mass, low-spin, and randomly oriented, matching globular-cluster dynamical formation with BH birth spins 0.1-0.2.

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    astro-ph.HE 2025-09 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    GWTC-4 reveals a high-spin, high-mass black hole subpopulation with spin-orbit alignment, interpreted as evidence for hierarchical mergers in AGN disks.

  6. Nowhere left to hide: revealing realistic gravitational-wave populations in high dimensions and high resolution with PixelPop

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    Modeling all significant correlations with the nonparametric model PixelPop recovers the true black-hole merger rate in a simulated 400-event gravitational-wave catalog, while simpler models introduce bias.

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    astro-ph.HE 2025-05 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Simulated gravitational-wave catalogs show spin-tilt peaks at alignment are hard to confirm even with 1500 events, while integrated tilt fractions are robust.

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    Population-level inference on the azimuthal spin angle phi12 can recover simulated spin-orbit resonant features, but no definitive evidence exists in current LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA data.

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    A population analysis of 153 LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA black-hole mergers reports chirp-mass peaks near 8, 14, and 27 solar masses, spaced by ~1.9, which the author interprets as possible hierarchical mergers.

  10. Inferring the pair-instability mass gap from gravitational wave data

    astro-ph.HE 2025-06 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Non-parametric analysis of GWTC-3 finds a transition at roughly 46 solar masses above which the effective spin distribution broadens and becomes consistent with symmetry around zero, consistent with second-generation ...

  11. The first decade of gravitational-wave measurements of black hole spins

    gr-qc 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 1.0 of 10

    A review summarizing formation-channel predictions, waveform effects, and population-level constraints on stellar-mass black hole spins from the first decade of gravitational-wave observations.

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