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Graph-based Neural Weather Prediction for Limited Area Modeling

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arxiv 2309.17370 v2 pith:K7A4NMQH submitted 2023-09-29 cs.LG stat.ML

classification cs.LGstat.ML
keywords arealimitedmodelingweatherapproachforecastinggraph-basedmethods
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The rise of accurate machine learning methods for weather forecasting is creating radical new possibilities for modeling the atmosphere. In the time of climate change, having access to high-resolution forecasts from models like these is also becoming increasingly vital. While most existing Neural Weather Prediction (NeurWP) methods focus on global forecasting, an important question is how these techniques can be applied to limited area modeling. In this work we adapt the graph-based NeurWP approach to the limited area setting and propose a multi-scale hierarchical model extension. Our approach is validated by experiments with a local model for the Nordic region.

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Forward citations

Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. OpenAlex reports about 7 citations worldwide. Full citation record

  1. HourGlass: A probabilistic data-driven temporal downscaler for global and regional weather forecasting

    physics.ao-ph 2026-07 accept novelty 6.5 of 10

    HourGlass probabilistically reconstructs hourly weather evolution between 6-hourly forecast states using CRPS training on NWP trajectories, preserving skill and small-scale variability better than deterministic downscalers.

  2. HRRRCast: a data-driven emulator for regional weather forecasting at convection allowing scales

    physics.ao-ph 2025-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A diffusion-based neural network trained on HRRR analysis beats HRRR forecast skill on 20 dBZ composite reflectivity across CONUS and is competitive at 30 dBZ.

  3. Deep Learning Weather Models for Subregional Ocean Forecasting: A Case Study on the Canary Current Upwelling System

    physics.ao-ph 2025-05 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    An adapted GraphCast graph neural network trained on satellite sea surface temperature outperforms ConvLSTM and the GLORYS reanalysis for medium-range forecasts in the Canary Current upwelling system.

  4. Enhancing a high resolution data-driven weather prediction model with surface descriptors

    physics.ao-ph 2026-07 conditional novelty 4.5 of 10

    Surface descriptors cut 2 m temperature and 10 m wind MAE by 1.9% and 3.0% domain-wide (about 12% for urban temperature) in a stretched-grid data-driven weather model, and glacier removal raises temperature without re...

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