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Label-wise Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification

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arxiv 2406.02354 v1 pith:MTN5IMVA submitted 2024-06-04 cs.LG stat.ML

classification cs.LGstat.ML
keywords uncertaintymeasureslabel-wisequantificationaleatoricallowsepistemicaccurate
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We present a novel approach to uncertainty quantification in classification tasks based on label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures. This label-wise perspective allows uncertainty to be quantified at the individual class level, thereby improving cost-sensitive decision-making and helping understand the sources of uncertainty. Furthermore, it allows to define total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty on the basis of non-categorical measures such as variance, going beyond common entropy-based measures. In particular, variance-based measures address some of the limitations associated with established methods that have recently been discussed in the literature. We show that our proposed measures adhere to a number of desirable properties. Through empirical evaluation on a variety of benchmark data sets -- including applications in the medical domain where accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial -- we establish the effectiveness of label-wise uncertainty quantification.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

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  1. An Axiomatic Assessment of Entropy- and Variance-based Uncertainty Quantification in Regression

    cs.LG 2025-04 reject novelty 6.0 of 10

    The paper introduces regression-specific axioms for uncertainty measures and finds that entropy- and variance-based measures satisfy different axioms, but the entropy-based results rely on a false equality between mix...

  2. Safe and Certifiable AI Systems: Concepts, Challenges, and Lessons Learned

    cs.CY 2025-09 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    The paper presents the TÜV AUSTRIA Trusted AI audit catalog, a statistical framework based on the Stochastic Application Domain Definition, minimum performance requirements, and independent-sample testing for certifyi...

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