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Fredformer: Frequency Debiased Transformer for Time Series Forecasting

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arxiv 2406.09009 v4 pith:4AWX4VJR submitted 2024-06-13 cs.LG cs.AI

classification cs.LGcs.AI
keywords biasfeaturesfrequencyfredformermodelforecastingapproachdata
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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The Transformer model has shown leading performance in time series forecasting. Nevertheless, in some complex scenarios, it tends to learn low-frequency features in the data and overlook high-frequency features, showing a frequency bias. This bias prevents the model from accurately capturing important high-frequency data features. In this paper, we undertook empirical analyses to understand this bias and discovered that frequency bias results from the model disproportionately focusing on frequency features with higher energy. Based on our analysis, we formulate this bias and propose Fredformer, a Transformer-based framework designed to mitigate frequency bias by learning features equally across different frequency bands. This approach prevents the model from overlooking lower amplitude features important for accurate forecasting. Extensive experiments show the effectiveness of our proposed approach, which can outperform other baselines in different real-world time-series datasets. Furthermore, we introduce a lightweight variant of the Fredformer with an attention matrix approximation, which achieves comparable performance but with much fewer parameters and lower computation costs. The code is available at: https://github.com/chenzRG/Fredformer

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Revisiting PCA for time series reduction in temporal dimension

    cs.LG 2024-12 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Applying PCA to the time axis of series windows before deep model training keeps average task accuracy while cutting compute and memory, but gains and losses vary strongly by model and dataset.

  2. Auto-Regressive Moving Diffusion Models for Time Series Forecasting

    cs.LG 2024-12 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    ARMD replaces noise in diffusion models with a deterministic sliding of the series window, turning denoising into iterative forecasting, and reports SOTA results on 12 of 14 diffusion-baseline settings.

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