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Towards Time Series Reasoning with LLMs
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Multi-modal large language models (MLLMs) have enabled numerous advances in understanding and reasoning in domains like vision, but we have not yet seen this broad success for time-series. Although prior works on time-series MLLMs have shown promising performance in time-series forecasting, very few works show how an LLM could be used for time-series reasoning in natural language. We propose a novel multi-modal time-series LLM approach that learns generalizable information across various domains with powerful zero-shot performance. First, we train a lightweight time-series encoder on top of an LLM to directly extract time-series information. Then, we fine-tune our model with chain-of-thought augmented time-series tasks to encourage the model to generate reasoning paths. We show that our model learns a latent representation that reflects specific time-series features (e.g. slope, frequency), as well as outperforming GPT-4o on a set of zero-shot reasoning tasks on a variety of domains.
Forward citations
Cited by 5 Pith papers
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ReasonCast: Towards Explainable Time Series Forecasting with Reasoning
A fine-tuned LLM that states its reasoning, then its forecast, in one response beats specialized forecasters on five synthetic time series patterns.
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Enhancing LLM Reasoning for Time Series Classification by Tailored Thinking and Fused Decision
A three-turn prompting framework, ReasonTSC, boosts LLM time series classification by fusing pattern analysis with plug-in model scores, but its evaluation leaks test-set labels into the prompts and overstates the gains.
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MemCast: Memory-Driven Time Series Forecasting with Experience-Conditioned Reasoning
MemCast claims LLM time-series forecasting improves when retrieval from a hierarchical memory of patterns, wisdom, and laws conditions reasoning, but the reported gains depend on a test-label-rewarded confidence update.
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Causal Graph Fuzzy LLMs: A First Introduction and Applications in Time Series Forecasting
CGF-LLM combines fuzzy time series and PCMCI causal graphs into text input for fine-tuned GPT-2, reporting improved one-step-ahead forecast NRMSE and a reduction in token count on four datasets.
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Large Language models for Time Series Analysis: Techniques, Applications, and Challenges
A review of LLM-based time series analysis that proposes several taxonomies, but is undermined by citation errors and a lack of systematic methodology.
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