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FlowTS: Time Series Generation via Rectified Flow

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arxiv 2411.07506 v3 pith:AN4ZKG5L submitted 2024-11-12 cs.LG cs.AI

classification cs.LGcs.AI
keywords flowtsgenerationbestprevachievesadaptationconditionalcontext
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Diffusion-based models have significant achievements in time series generation but suffer from inefficient computation: solving high-dimensional ODEs/SDEs via iterative numerical solvers demands hundreds to thousands of drift function evaluations per sample, incurring prohibitive costs. To resolve this, we propose FlowTS, an ODE-based model that leverages rectified flow with straight-line transport in probability space. By learning geodesic paths between distributions, FlowTS achieves computational efficiency through exact linear trajectory simulation, accelerating training and generation while improving performances. We further introduce an adaptive sampling strategy inspired by the exploration-exploitation trade-off, balancing noise adaptation and precision. Notably, FlowTS enables seamless adaptation from unconditional to conditional generation without retraining, ensuring efficient real-world deployment. Also, to enhance generation authenticity, FlowTS integrates trend and seasonality decomposition, attention registers (for global context aggregation), and Rotary Position Embedding (RoPE) (for position information). For unconditional setting, extensive experiments demonstrate that FlowTS achieves state-of-the-art performance, with context FID scores of 0.019 and 0.011 on Stock and ETTh datasets (prev. best: 0.067, 0.061). For conditional setting, we have achieved superior performance in solar forecasting (MSE 213, prev. best: 375) and MuJoCo imputation tasks (MSE 7e-5, prev. best 2.7e-4). The code is available at https://github.com/UNITES-Lab/FlowTS.

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Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. CTBench: Cryptocurrency Time Series Generation Benchmark

    q-fin.ST 2025-08 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    CTBench is the first crypto-focused time series generation benchmark, combining forecasting and statistical arbitrage tasks to rank eight generative models.

  2. Enhancing Irregular Time Series Forecasting with Continuous-Time Modeling Framework

    cs.LG 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    WrapFlow combines continuous-time event/gap tokenization with simulation-free residual flow matching on a Transformer to improve irregular multivariate time-series forecasting.

  3. CoGenCast: A Coupled Autoregressive-Flow Generative Framework for Time Series Forecasting

    cs.LG 2026-02 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    CoGenCast couples a Qwen-based encoder-decoder with flow matching and reports strong MSE/MAE on ten time-series benchmarks.

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