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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models

As of 12 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2501.06496.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2501.06496 v1

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.803992Z

measured 18 of 18 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00

measured 2 of 2 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-08T06:04:54.590277Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-19T13:02:18.059443Z

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact2
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved11
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch2

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 1b8551e1-03a2-46d7-8d08-1b708197045c · outbound

This paper cites online" 'onlinestring :=.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models online" 'onlinestring :=

Reference 1

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.424742Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.424742Z digest=sha256:0dafc0e2af5335d682d7c830ec5abbb8c13381f944852db6a841249488d3ec81

Observation 65a61590-9382-4e3f-8d23-c84f9d37f152 · outbound

This paper cites write newline.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models write newline

Reference 2

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.435239Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.435239Z digest=sha256:0480f4e779267ff316fbe601d2555b10b080fa09b9160380fa0975cb898bf812

Observation 309da5cc-98d6-4181-8326-db6893b208df · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.096883Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.455617Z digest=sha256:054f9cdc50e46f58b3947e402058cbbe23c375f1cbff5d649c61d0f653bccaa9

Observation dc629793-f298-4070-b345-7a7292b84695 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.019381Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.474887Z digest=sha256:5587c6c1e78ba3bf6e967c38582cf69a591d6eec3a00384afa12dd246d30ee87

Observation 99fe6f5e-f09f-4bd2-b635-199748e4f5a2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:42.731273Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.497038Z digest=sha256:b46f18b7a02920c5f3e53c26dfa9a9feedfc3315771c7c74db77fbd7a35c3a8d

Observation 15c385af-39c1-444f-83ac-1aaae15b4e42 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.501485Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.501485Z digest=sha256:eab5000b3ab283782036e672fe3d552997b22a4512c1222e30a9b254fd7624e8

Observation cffb3276-3d95-46ab-a907-3d754e4b02a3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.079839Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.509653Z digest=sha256:3622401220c634bf59a33a12beb5092cfbfb166a6509071fc2fbb9b04504344a

Observation bc032e86-f4ee-400b-895c-ea341f345a3c · outbound

This paper cites Ptaszynski, Hirotoshi Honma, and Fumito Masui.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Ptaszynski, Hirotoshi Honma, and Fumito Masui

Reference 8

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:43.056563Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.586793Z digest=sha256:2e0ea003e04f17a66c71b3ad731bef89a42b5a10d857d513e9e5b1f810d4b731

Observation 88211eed-81fe-485f-8ea3-75081cc7c5ea · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:42.566590Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.594301Z digest=sha256:4afe5bf76f51cf4dc4bd276b699ac1554023053e8fe8fa5b6fb93b77c5214cf4

Observation 64441e17-f98b-4f13-a331-ca649ccb2d61 · outbound

This paper cites A Comprehensive Overview of Large Language Models.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models A Comprehensive Overview of Large Language Models

Reference 10

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.622005Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.622005Z digest=sha256:6a4cd765eb9e4871c580d2329a7216bcb832c4381086481599e2971c8e7a5916

Observation 1886765e-6e00-41e9-8fa0-02c118eb3f8e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:42.840979Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.664756Z digest=sha256:b2ce8eb21139360bd9b1dc4c0366beec55c4be888c716e01d42850fc8ea66c77

Observation a30b1822-f9f0-4487-8f36-04a929f9e59d · outbound

This paper cites Large Language Models for Forecasting and Anomaly Detection: A Systematic Literature Review.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Large Language Models for Forecasting and Anomaly Detection: A Systematic Literature Review

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.714749Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.714749Z digest=sha256:b92f1554b1741d28de9c4421fed45eb394a136505acf24800dccc023028b66d1

Observation 01108c30-e913-4e34-8b53-9690d272dab6 · outbound

This paper cites Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models

Reference 13

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.747552Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.747552Z digest=sha256:8dc771b2349239565151610cc2ffa0298c337db995f9d88500fb30780bb42820

Observation 32975343-8a60-4d3b-b984-eafef9646439 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.753948Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.753948Z digest=sha256:f7f6ec153cbc0f31f393955f805b51793278efaa2abf7066f910bb45f03848e6

Observation 8738b400-5d64-452c-8007-c833c478e203 · outbound

This paper cites Back to the Future: Towards Explainable Temporal Reasoning with Large Language Models.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Back to the Future: Towards Explainable Temporal Reasoning with Large Language Models

Reference 15

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.772485Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.772485Z digest=sha256:3a0f33184e6d084ab820000c37108de72b38d30cca73cfb3b1fbc7a9ca7cf5e6

Observation 8c261e94-3554-4521-8a77-81584eaaee87 · outbound

This paper cites Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks.

Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models Forecasting Future World Events with Neural Networks

Reference 16

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T21:03:41.803992Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-10T21:03:41.803992Z digest=sha256:bd8f5970d2c4ad4ba56d362b1555bb9ba59505669da99c82f8d6d95cefd61e2a

Pith citing papers

Observation 9de509ae-4880-4c23-bed2-a2faa3435c54 · inbound

Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction cites this paper.

Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models

Reference 1997

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-08T06:04:54.590277Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-08T06:04:54.590277Z digest=sha256:10dea5db40c19ebdadc819491c53990f8f1391a02c6061b5a365574230f88355

Observation e8057d37-63d0-413b-87a4-283307b6dd62 · inbound

It's High Time: A Survey of Temporal Question Answering cites this paper.

It's High Time: A Survey of Temporal Question Answering Analyzing the Role of Context in Forecasting with Large Language Models

Reference 20

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-19T13:02:18.065979Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-12T06:34:41.77262+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-19T13:01:57.275994Z digest=sha256:94aad48291ab632ae7c1222e0547d8d3b79e39eadf529b264744bf1ecae15c32