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Universal Inference for Incomplete Discrete Choice Models

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arxiv 2501.17973 v1 pith:ANDVB3NZ submitted 2025-01-29 econ.EM math.STstat.TH

classification econ.EMmath.STstat.TH
keywords inferencemodelsdiscretemethodparametersuniversalapplicationsavoids
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A growing number of empirical models exhibit set-valued predictions. This paper develops a tractable inference method with finite-sample validity for such models. The proposed procedure uses a robust version of the universal inference framework by Wasserman et al. (2020) and avoids using moment selection tuning parameters, resampling, or simulations. The method is designed for constructing confidence intervals for counterfactual objects and other functionals of the underlying parameter. It can be used in applications that involve model incompleteness, discrete and continuous covariates, and parameters containing nuisance components.

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  1. Single-Network Finite-Sample Inference in Strategic Network Formation Models

    econ.EM 2026-07 accept novelty 8.0 of 10

    A single observed network suffices for finite-sample valid confidence sets on the strategic-complementarity parameter in network formation models, via realization-wise sandwich inequalities and simulated critical values.

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