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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off

As of 11 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 37 of 37 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2501.19334.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2501.19334 v3

Coverage vector

measured 37 of 37 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.439485Z

measured 39 of 39 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00

measured 2 of 2 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-20T19:59:40.519962Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

37 of 37 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact7
  • verified fuzzy9
  • unresolved19
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch2

External citation measurements

0
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

Observation e9e7a2fe-b05a-4fd7-9d58-524a7773c88e · outbound

This paper cites Aiken, T.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Aiken, T

Reference 1

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.440641Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.273424Z digest=sha256:6a64735bf9eaaa95f5ee4baaae1a63f83a6474a7d77d44a588fc63f91b8e9dad

Observation 8440bcbf-e7d2-4753-8eec-893e80e3e538 · outbound

This paper cites Antoni, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Antoni, A

Reference 2

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.572846Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.279036Z digest=sha256:66faa9edf152754799ea2a66e4f0ec9c851fbfb8db744305febb1e8032508d4b

Observation 9cd38f93-9833-4545-bd00-c7db12e8047d · outbound

This paper cites Antoni, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Antoni, A

Reference 3

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.557363Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.284123Z digest=sha256:34c46cee5c050612e40f3172e7b72f75d089cfdb3bc4fa830460075d130b8b08

Observation a3914ed2-8c29-4052-bd7c-99893910ec70 · outbound

This paper cites Athey and S.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Athey and S

Reference 4

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.665382Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.289221Z digest=sha256:44836b56a2204d350ac313caaedb76a4c765a30086b52a72dc33f21f8f8ccfd3

Observation ce50c133-a244-42c4-a594-089b3cddd8c3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.542389Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.293766Z digest=sha256:1cddbcb8e2e4c91481743ca5202cc5ae4797424d188589bfdfced60f2d487957

Observation a2ec4560-da4b-4816-ad5c-12edbbebcf43 · outbound

This paper cites Barocas, M.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Barocas, M

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.298694Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.298694Z digest=sha256:3756d72fb99a3e0f2418d138820d240b7e90016f36314fcce91f679c05141c40

Observation cffdc1e6-c064-43a6-975b-6a71224a038b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.641823Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.303786Z digest=sha256:460a8bf402fb1c07d9b1b9f8f003cc2b152adc1eeb450d2f53379a794dfd36ed

Observation c00abc97-6610-498a-96bb-22864d89c03d · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating the Effectiveness of Index-Based Treatment Allocation.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Evaluating the Effectiveness of Index-Based Treatment Allocation

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.308275Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.308275Z digest=sha256:bb2ed3073641ba0b8d5eb00ce975ff995a03afdac9d10054d7787c20acc6fb69

Observation e05d6f43-67b2-4909-a70e-ace717a25110 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
verified exact
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.339518Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.313030Z digest=sha256:c132797b12b4a5a442b195896a4645dd0059d47d0a86f04feb5dffe5201d67ff

Observation fc0e9d45-97f3-4b07-b6fa-2c6f25b5f5c3 · outbound

This paper cites Chouldechova, D.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Chouldechova, D

Reference 10

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.627569Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.317330Z digest=sha256:22749b8ae13d4d7d5cbeaef31866a277d564630b86d1fa22ca79f34ccd56db63

Observation e3108af5-31f3-4928-89fc-b743e27e68ea · outbound

This paper cites Clementi and M.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Clementi and M

Reference 11

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.613491Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.321761Z digest=sha256:735604242bef047969334cdffa02e57a23aef9eb9534a99afbcc0861e56a008c

Observation ef85c520-fc70-4838-9f36-0c860968dde2 · outbound

This paper cites Coston, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Coston, A

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.326515Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.326515Z digest=sha256:ee881fcf628ad8afd5f50ee52c9ea8f5578fa0f71f2da7188e6b2a99003de63b

Observation d61e90f1-0e4f-4946-b5e2-61163b7798d4 · outbound

This paper cites Desiere and L.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Desiere and L

Reference 13

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.527328Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.330939Z digest=sha256:e970bb26b4e345655638de31589d6b83e1cb2d99cfcbe80f9fdd8531207fbf14

Observation f03911e8-3b69-4223-948a-b84a1c212fb2 · outbound

This paper cites Desiere, K.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Desiere, K

Reference 14

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.512586Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.335305Z digest=sha256:638b844e77fbdb4a14ecfc41c9512fd49ff6676367bfaaed24264b5626119f32

Observation 8b7dc90b-0642-424c-a088-42f0086300f0 · outbound

This paper cites Drezner and G.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Drezner and G

Reference 15

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.599523Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.339760Z digest=sha256:63bed6933f194b44b93d75fd6e4b356a72bc3f97fd2e0961fbb9512f43c26cd7

Observation 5fa05448-a1af-4ad0-b350-f7a3b2bcd509 · outbound

This paper cites predict, then optimize.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off predict, then optimize

Reference 16

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.584299Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.344204Z digest=sha256:4c5c42b571f5b6b4472884457836b9e6fca9bdaa5deb443783fb7b8e4537af5f

Observation 2bad3bf3-a69a-4abe-9971-eb0c65b5ba0e · outbound

This paper cites Fern\' a ndez-Lor\' a and F.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Fern\' a ndez-Lor\' a and F

Reference 17

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.348582Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.348582Z digest=sha256:af5e90349c87c682ac0a9220f8e3849a775836ecb6a1a7090ba557c26267643f

Observation c8ae0d80-e70a-4e45-a8e0-2bb278aad0ef · outbound

This paper cites Fischer-Abaigar, C.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Fischer-Abaigar, C

Reference 18

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.106806Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.352828Z digest=sha256:3cceb943fd3b8e4f202a5b0668b9741fcf7f92cf19f509ae803c5a3cbf9889a4

Observation ae023628-c22b-4cbb-b5a4-4da040b81d2f · outbound

This paper cites Guerdan, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Guerdan, A

Reference 19

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.357204Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.357204Z digest=sha256:5a5dea68987afbe6fe414e2d0ac2f79ffba0d0bec7a7fe4d868dda0e6b48fdf4

Observation a1d05178-0a15-42e7-8947-2185e6db371e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.568389Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.361861Z digest=sha256:08ad2ad07ac85d1e9a0c2e9e19afc0fd56a4a2fc7686bbb815f5acd684d1b1fa

Observation 52e00ef9-0488-4473-b3bc-65134326c93f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.366247Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.366247Z digest=sha256:45b18ba4c54817324ed2eafa20ec7c94da42bf9a65bb41dfd07f5eed4179d0d5

Observation 611e9862-89b1-41b7-99d2-dc6822e5c3f9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.370521Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.370521Z digest=sha256:32c7b36eedc3904ae4643f2232dbdbbc3a4a3208f05ab4d4610ee43df1c248a8

Observation 47eb3185-a9aa-473e-aca2-78ec6848efb1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.496647Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.375292Z digest=sha256:45817e3e30b1cb71915a4e8fd53c8d5902e6686b715f25a83304f4bc3a014ddf

Observation 6beee263-5ea2-4560-b81a-553a8a7f556f · outbound

This paper cites Kitagawa and A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Kitagawa and A

Reference 24

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.379816Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.379816Z digest=sha256:7cbfe5525491ed042c21e324cff39e4d09f4f991fd047cc33616f0ca565ddde5

Observation 66a49a72-1ad4-4b8d-8409-c3a361fcda6a · outbound

This paper cites Kleinberg, J.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Kleinberg, J

Reference 25

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.553616Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.384203Z digest=sha256:6ba471a71c159257940527485e95f2ca90603f665036dc4541db09662fbe8a57

Observation 903023d8-639d-4917-a15e-f8338b52c559 · outbound

This paper cites K \"o rtner and G.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off K \"o rtner and G

Reference 26

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.538876Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.388646Z digest=sha256:ccd913b8a5bc3dbd0138df5238becdbcf1152eb0d3ce486ad1e4cef180480ee0

Observation 8d48d837-846c-40e4-af24-368c6bc3ec61 · outbound

This paper cites Loxha and M.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Loxha and M

Reference 27

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.524667Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.393001Z digest=sha256:bf8a02ef5b1e7c345e82b28cb9b569afa66351c606dc9046313632abd6e44743

Observation dd771e4b-2bc9-4d0a-b42c-f207b7c1ecec · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 28

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.397536Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.397536Z digest=sha256:fb0498f5703064c8de2195d8bfc1660785781a369a444f6fe50a20362f36a439

Observation c96c50a1-7551-4fe0-8c95-3b3a681e2ba8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.510373Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.402110Z digest=sha256:3d7d394fe973d5e850d5315492435177e15b2edd297dd6f75ad5e07fe60c202a

Observation bc3c436f-0e48-4d9a-92e4-82139c675d2e · outbound

This paper cites Difficult Lessons on Social Prediction from Wisconsin Public Schools.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Difficult Lessons on Social Prediction from Wisconsin Public Schools

Reference 30

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.406565Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.406565Z digest=sha256:23d248d8eaa56331a1143676251f9442527eebf3376a55731c9b6b5261ae9c98

Observation 39a4c3a4-fe31-4b45-9eff-81f306a2f0b6 · outbound

This paper cites Potash, J.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Potash, J

Reference 31

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.411298Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.411298Z digest=sha256:170c9f3a61a15cd5c1bce5f7a24f28638b945ccefb01a3957b6c916eaf04a221

Observation b6ccf6d8-6e95-49f3-ac29-95991fee0e73 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 32

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.415558Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.415558Z digest=sha256:2194cd48036da5fe5dc03355c3daac6eb046fca8d88f615e32d92d21e705ca7a

Observation 50ad56c2-4c06-4cd7-b8d0-a08dc8144d4e · outbound

This paper cites Shirali, R.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Shirali, R

Reference 33

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.486959Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.419977Z digest=sha256:3a54382f8b99096f724cfea2708fce1e8eefb334a42cbac85c55e239332be68e

Observation 5c623da3-ba6b-4388-b3dc-b14d3408eb10 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 34

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.471606Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.424367Z digest=sha256:b4ab11a420597d2b1941ec6826a667be08ef82772f4537982f6e5aeb3e4c2930

Observation 8a52a223-fd00-45c5-a9c7-721508bb4bbd · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 35

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.428766Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.428766Z digest=sha256:4dd0e152144e90f2bca3ed952266ca1a6fb922ede2af25cbd1f59037ad38e8df

Observation b6965a5c-7786-4292-a619-f5a32653750a · outbound

This paper cites Learning treatment effects while treating those in need.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Learning treatment effects while treating those in need

Reference 36

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.434761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.434761Z digest=sha256:4719819799750b9330be6ba4c34a48c01dc684065da6503908c26240fd178a4e

Observation 4e243ed6-8daa-4e0d-9f49-e5ae6e80167b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 37

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.456892Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.439485Z digest=sha256:42fe89686d3c56b772ec22347d2f43d62c07ba149061ca0819fb5f4805851072

Pith citing papers

Observation 35f2a470-e187-4907-bd77-d5d0fac00a28 · inbound

Privacy, Prediction, and Allocation cites this paper.

Privacy, Prediction, and Allocation The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off

Reference 23

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T08:43:00.869598Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-10T08:38:54.914928Z digest=sha256:e0ce9f106ed8f5d724043c569fddeaba7e0f6ef957d9b91499b57ddb61c38876

Observation 59815ca7-b530-4067-b208-b88c3b69b009 · inbound

MLReplicate: Benchmarking Autonomous Research Systems for Machine Learning Reproducibility cites this paper.

MLReplicate: Benchmarking Autonomous Research Systems for Machine Learning Reproducibility The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off

Reference 9

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-20T20:03:44.104273Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-20T19:59:40.519962Z digest=sha256:ec8b004387e2cc99f357fdbf68c8f8cc690d8f8c5da7289e71e27db906b4f1c6