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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models

As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 32 of 32 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2502.08858.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2502.08858 v1

Coverage vector

measured 32 of 32 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.700215Z

measured 33 of 33 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-11T01:39:50.275352Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-05-11T01:40:51.683464Z

Reference resolution

32 of 32 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy23
  • unresolved9
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation d04a81eb-a610-4ff6-8d9c-419936433512 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilistic counterfactuals: semantics, computation, and applications.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilistic counterfactuals: semantics, computation, and applications

Reference 1

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verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.152800Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.589713Z digest=sha256:eb0c5e4b66d9788c82748855a57b6c8a3624a1c960df36fc1694e8a22fa76fe7

Observation 5d6eafe5-2c38-433b-a406-3877f5f37028 · outbound

This paper cites Random search for hyper-parameter optimization.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Random search for hyper-parameter optimization

Reference 2

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.141119Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.594045Z digest=sha256:53bc0b11badc3807da1e85a290d2f89399ee3ec119c419411fc6453b38a9899c

Observation 02839eb3-acba-4653-97fe-b256c0cfc7d5 · outbound

This paper cites Support-vector networks.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Support-vector networks

Reference 3

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.597844Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.597844Z digest=sha256:e29c4c8a4efd67fa1b59bfdb4f6521d104e79178a4a805b6f7491595d080e824

Observation 946d25e4-cc2c-4fb4-9336-64c3ab89e267 · outbound

This paper cites The probability of causation.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models The probability of causation

Reference 4

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.121925Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.601869Z digest=sha256:449624339569098a90095b88e454617fd0fad3891bbcfc3955c37af8cc36c1f9

Observation e63dfaee-8399-4afd-b8a5-589618094b29 · outbound

This paper cites Friedman.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Friedman

Reference 5

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.605591Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.605591Z digest=sha256:c5d3a2bb0d02bed66eb34e0871543c85aa6c1c4b34491be27fee8e82232b7b63

Observation 8f8a5cb4-4993-4583-92ef-d022201b4780 · outbound

This paper cites An axiomatic characterization of causal counterfactuals.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models An axiomatic characterization of causal counterfactuals

Reference 6

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.110794Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.609513Z digest=sha256:06904b54d26faefcaebba8cc3580c73f39023926c7f15e61c7b27f9ff3aa981a

Observation 35d0ec88-c2c3-42ba-af02-100cb1ca2151 · outbound

This paper cites Axiomatizing causal reasoning.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Axiomatizing causal reasoning

Reference 7

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verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.099848Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.613631Z digest=sha256:f1f463418f708c04211896a006091021e194ed606b96d66634c398801291a76b

Observation 5a564768-76a2-4375-90f9-c564c892b139 · outbound

This paper cites Causal analysis after haavelmo.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal analysis after haavelmo

Reference 8

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.088830Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.617138Z digest=sha256:19d4cf15c1c6443d1a988b6cb503e30b7b74f420655272e96d82f961a1ec7d1b

Observation 0a3de745-3c00-4567-94b7-0559f6e33a59 · outbound

This paper cites Random decision forests.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Random decision forests

Reference 9

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.077151Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.620556Z digest=sha256:2608848dbcf19c9493c04674f5f455165d816ed8d68b6ded5b12fd2874661bbc

Observation b9be32a1-e3a8-4f43-9eb1-d3ba30af6c63 · outbound

This paper cites Causal inference in statistics, social, and biomedical sciences.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal inference in statistics, social, and biomedical sciences

Reference 10

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.623871Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.623871Z digest=sha256:998d67fe320d00641a8a723ee62d22513f2c0503e6ba7a9fabbc0f691f3f37dc

Observation a60387de-82b6-4d62-b936-627971a02b18 · outbound

This paper cites Unit selection based on counterfactual logic.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Unit selection based on counterfactual logic

Reference 11

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.058097Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.627082Z digest=sha256:afdd2a77450628d5391d292cb2570ca44c5b48b682e97e03926a984823a19748

Observation f54c74a2-82b6-4927-b1c8-ce0a8c5bf324 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Role of observational data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Role of observational data

Reference 12

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.047006Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.630614Z digest=sha256:f9ab9a994235016ab5a427630b249218b12b1c1b2eb28ba61d34a412b3939bd6

Observation e1735b38-c14c-40fe-8b97-0456a99659d1 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation with nonbinary treatment and effect.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation with nonbinary treatment and effect

Reference 13

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.035302Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.634149Z digest=sha256:92267d0c6c9de9e2cf58816f42cf887291c62920f5a26f2e427a1109a66aba57

Observation 4ef20655-3ada-447f-9ce9-830ba835d6c9 · outbound

This paper cites Unit selection with nonbinary treatment and effect.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Unit selection with nonbinary treatment and effect

Reference 14

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verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.023226Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.637665Z digest=sha256:bc5d551b482c243d26b5d625fa3284f9097bf5f9cd33d6dfc93d10d9d34b56e4

Observation 4839ca54-01fc-4b7e-b179-cf2afc222aee · outbound

This paper cites Chen, Jingzheng Qin, and Zhen Qin.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Chen, Jingzheng Qin, and Zhen Qin

Reference 15

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:56.011339Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.640902Z digest=sha256:8d1721ea1d63684c528467b66f31bb9c8114c436e11143b842015c25dc5c6201

Observation ee8c0328-780c-4e8d-b381-436f93f9580c · outbound

This paper cites Learning Probabilities of Causation from Finite Population Data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Learning Probabilities of Causation from Finite Population Data

Reference 16

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.644341Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.644341Z digest=sha256:940d3d1b23d435426155ccc943cc7bce5ece83437a838eac906a2e829533483f

Observation 0942ef7c-e35a-4b9b-8587-c8df019d7aff · outbound

This paper cites Unit selection: Learning benefit function from finite population data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Unit selection: Learning benefit function from finite population data

Reference 17

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.999676Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.648136Z digest=sha256:bf0727dc517abeabdd48d6c824d99f0bdaf7a68ccc75adcfa44700f82b703492

Observation 33b61e5c-7650-467b-8909-55c3b1c35782 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Adequate size of experimental and observational samples.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Adequate size of experimental and observational samples

Reference 18

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.988041Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.651779Z digest=sha256:4721e627ef359964f7d4ceeb0baeff79fc0c8843b83500fde2896a919506723e

Observation d7f4a89c-bcf9-436b-8565-227b555f1504 · outbound

This paper cites Rectifier nonlinearities improve neural network acoustic models.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Rectifier nonlinearities improve neural network acoustic models

Reference 19

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.655174Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.655174Z digest=sha256:79a5bedd3551a8a3515b15dc723349dc8d8570b5c1b6ba2ac893f8b60d67667e

Observation cfe4bc50-daeb-4a50-ab88-a0b5466b851c · outbound

This paper cites Mish: A Self Regularized Non-Monotonic Activation Function.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Mish: A Self Regularized Non-Monotonic Activation Function

Reference 20

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.658655Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.658655Z digest=sha256:4e428c217dbd5a815a58ffe1450b8456cc2f2f51fd7df561aa1b1c18e0ac92e4

Observation 7484c896-dfc0-4a2b-8599-f804153c9a74 · outbound

This paper cites Perspective on `harm' in personalized medicine -- an alternative perspective.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Perspective on `harm' in personalized medicine -- an alternative perspective

Reference 21

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.969648Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.662471Z digest=sha256:0488f297bac23af613a8525d5a13e84c9beeae5ab978c8213a16479533ac4d7b

Observation ca4fac38-38d1-4c71-84b9-06668b8fca56 · outbound

This paper cites Causes of effects: Learning individual responses from population data.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causes of effects: Learning individual responses from population data

Reference 22

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.958373Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.665802Z digest=sha256:b1da5a7aead23bdf169276aeeb3ef471c8e0975de82fc611595265f839edf08a

Observation 586ad258-937f-4209-88c9-2ff12f36ab67 · outbound

This paper cites Rectified linear units improve restricted boltzmann machines.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Rectified linear units improve restricted boltzmann machines

Reference 23

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.946847Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.669073Z digest=sha256:c48776554a33d9f96193f06a4f821fc8341fb1eb1e8e33fa703e08178b101cd0

Observation ec3a40f5-f2c8-4043-9342-8df8ac771d38 · outbound

This paper cites Aspects of graphical models connected with causality.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Aspects of graphical models connected with causality

Reference 24

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.933963Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.672334Z digest=sha256:ffc552c40c37fbd0e3c23c17afc8832e270397faa31aeea08fe6d5d3f1e134aa

Observation 062ceca2-d4f3-48f9-9169-6a01a43b547f · outbound

This paper cites Causal diagrams for empirical research.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal diagrams for empirical research

Reference 25

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.922847Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.675900Z digest=sha256:55470e0d310d8c5ea941b96b7c71a8b736a00c42b296599f220d7eeb418f490b

Observation 97bf9774-7856-43e0-adc8-fff210eba020 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Three counterfactual interpretations and their identification.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Three counterfactual interpretations and their identification

Reference 26

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.911470Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.679340Z digest=sha256:947051549ad983ef1424a4a0d37177c70a1f3d5cb60a7372f8dd4cbb24adfa12

Observation b3d0f9d2-11bb-4de4-a2be-9c597b1527ec · outbound

This paper cites Causality.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causality

Reference 27

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.899679Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.682828Z digest=sha256:ecef765d6bcb44e2965ceae967880e289dbf2d524a30498e993cbe5bbab8bf14

Observation 90d8e8a7-6ba2-431d-a704-4ccfc1290a65 · outbound

This paper cites Causal Fairness Analysis.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal Fairness Analysis

Reference 28

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.686521Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.686521Z digest=sha256:a4320e2ed5470981f1ceb40d4b19fcc3758b6ceb61ade81592a1e2fa939af4ba

Observation af0aaf77-5d06-4c0f-a822-237011e6f6c3 · outbound

This paper cites Rumelhart, Geoffrey E.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Rumelhart, Geoffrey E

Reference 29

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.690200Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.690200Z digest=sha256:c54fd1d7f30a4232d0d97e308d1c7a3a684a7ecdfb8fbd60a7606e7bc6429166

Observation ad164cf5-1dde-411c-8218-a0f5f8edeb81 · outbound

This paper cites Probabilities of causation: Bounds and identification.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Probabilities of causation: Bounds and identification

Reference 30

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.888414Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.693495Z digest=sha256:54fcefd7447d121828d3c33bcdf2c75ff9673a831f0e62199161462d89aa64bd

Observation 1e667230-8ff3-4d80-a815-1907099b711d · outbound

This paper cites Attention is all you need.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Attention is all you need

Reference 31

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.696749Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.696749Z digest=sha256:c5ede417cc2ed3cfc7db9058e4782c29e8a202e624c99e90a5ab4d13611421d4

Observation f9ce8791-2f65-44f7-a825-ec3a4effc8ca · outbound

This paper cites Causal ai framework for unit selection in optimizing electric vehicle procurement.

Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models Causal ai framework for unit selection in optimizing electric vehicle procurement

Reference 32

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-07T23:32:55.869464Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-07T23:32:55.700215Z digest=sha256:4f27f40b87087395acb1b730cbdb59c02f2b967e5220efaf496df6313126183d

Pith citing papers

Observation c9680a1f-b0d0-43c3-94c7-9c63763b88f6 · inbound

Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks cites this paper.

Causal EpiNets: Precision-corrected Bounds on Individual Treatment Effects using Epistemic Neural Networks Estimating Probabilities of Causation with Machine Learning Models

Reference 49

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T01:40:51.685120Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-11T01:39:50.275352Z digest=sha256:5a3332e17d79ba8cc83c684f005d9293fdf9a3172fdf2e783c7b8bbcd42ec739