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Expanding Protein Structure Prediction into Conformational State Space

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arxiv 2608.02866 v1 pith:VKTS3WE2 submitted 2026-08-03 q-bio.BM

classification q-bio.BM
keywords predictionstructureconformationconformationalemergingproblemproteinstate-space
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Recent AI advances have enabled protein structure prediction at near-experimental accuracy, largely solving the problem of identifying a dominant conformation from sequence. Many proteins, however, function as dynamic systems populating multiple conformational states with activity emerging from shifts in relative occupancy--an incomplete picture when reduced to one structure. Here, we argue that structure prediction should be reformulated as a state-space inference problem: recovering not one conformation's coordinates but accessible states, their energetic and kinetic relationships, context dependence, and responses to perturbations. We review emerging strategies--deep learning ensemble generators, physics-based simulations, and experimental constraints--and outline a roadmap toward state-space prediction.

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