Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents
As of 8 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 9 of 9 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2607.03015.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Coverage vector
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-08T06:32:00.761636+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: cited_works
Reference resolution
9 of 9 outbound references displayed
- verified exact0
- verified fuzzy0
- unresolved9
- parse uncertain0
- malformed identifier0
- metadata mismatch0
External citation measurements
No source-named external measurement is stored.
Outbound references
Observation 9ac5225e-5268-4396-bbbb-6a47d39e0bb0 · outbound
This paper cites ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
Reference 1
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation d989f460-dab2-427e-85a6-c5e7829be3bf · outbound
This paper cites 2025 , url=.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents 2025 , url=
Reference 2
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation d50c295b-dd23-4fcd-b4a4-6279ab188239 · outbound
This paper cites FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for
Reference 3
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 2981f381-9c2c-4bd9-97fc-2242956961a9 · outbound
This paper cites The Losing Winner: An.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents The Losing Winner: An
Reference 4
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 7549864d-200e-4377-834b-e8cda058673d · outbound
This paper cites Prediction Arena: Benchmarking.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents Prediction Arena: Benchmarking
Reference 5
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation c8f6097d-ca18-4237-98b1-66e6d854616e · outbound
This paper cites PolyBench: Benchmarking.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents PolyBench: Benchmarking
Reference 6
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 1e2c03cc-597a-4473-ad88-b1747c28be93 · outbound
This paper cites Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs
Reference 7
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation daa81c6a-0afb-4c12-b437-f6a5842f307b · outbound
This paper cites Monthly Weather Review , volume=.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents Monthly Weather Review , volume=
Reference 8
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation f1fa4d73-bce7-44d8-aa65-5327e1b9859a · outbound
This paper cites The Bell System Technical Journal , volume=.
Beyond Forecasting: The Belief-to-Trade Layer in Prediction-Market Agents The Bell System Technical Journal , volume=
Reference 9
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-07-12T05:27:20.387540Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Pith citing papers
No inbound Pith citation observations are available.