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An Empirical Quantile Estimation Approach to Nonlinear Optimization Problems with Chance Constraints

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arxiv 2211.00675 v5 pith:B4GYWMVP submitted 2022-11-01 math.OC

classification math.OC
keywords approachquantileestimationfunctionempiricalgradientmethodnonlinear
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We investigate an empirical quantile estimation approach to solve chance-constrained nonlinear optimization problems. Our approach is based on the reformulation of the chance constraint as an equivalent quantile constraint to provide stronger signals on the gradient. In this approach, the value of the quantile function is estimated empirically from samples drawn from the random parameters, and the gradient of the quantile function is estimated via a finite-difference approximation on top of the quantile-function-value estimation. We establish a convergence theory of this approach within the framework of an augmented Lagrangian method for solving general nonlinear constrained optimization problems. The foundation of the convergence analysis is a concentration property of the empirical quantile process, and the analysis is divided based on whether or not the quantile function is differentiable. In contrast to the sampling-and-smoothing approach used in the literature, the method developed in this paper does not involve any smoothing function and hence the quantile-function gradient approximation is easier to implement and there are less accuracy-control parameters to tune. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach and compare it with a smoothing method for the quantile-gradient estimation. Numerical investigation shows that the two approaches are competitive for certain problem instances.

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    Training the base regressor to minimize the (1−α)-quantile absolute error, as in EffOrt, empirically and theoretically yields shorter conformal prediction intervals without losing coverage.

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