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Adjusting auxiliary variables under approximate neighborhood interference

T0 review · 4 major / 5 minor · reviewed 2026-08-12 · deepseek-v4-flash

Pith's one-line read A normalizing map makes network regression adjustment safe and sharper.

desk verdict A genuinely useful new regression adjustment for network experiments under ANI, with a real proof gap in the central optimality theorem that needs patching before I'd trust it fully. read the letter →

arxiv 2411.19789 v1 pith:BOE7WOFI submitted 2024-11-29 stat.ME

classification stat.ME MSC 62D0562G2062F12
keywords causalinferenceregressionadjustmentdesign-basednetworkinterferenceapproximateneighborhoodauxiliaryvariablesexposuremappingHACvarianceestimator
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

The pith

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The reading

In randomized experiments on networks, treatment can spill from one unit to another, so a unit's outcome may depend on its neighbors' treatments. The paper develops a regression-adjustment framework for estimating average treatment effects under the approximate neighborhood interference (ANI) assumption, where influence from distant units is negligible. Its central claim is that if the analyst chooses auxiliary variables—functions of covariates, treatment, and network structure—that are bounded and decay at the same ANI rate as the outcomes, then a network-dependent estimator that minimizes a HAC variance estimator is asymptotically normal, has asymptotic variance no larger than the unadjusted estimator, and yields confidence intervals that are never wider and often shorter. This matters because it gives practitioners a design-based, specification-free way to use network information while guaranteeing precision gains.

What carries the argument

The key machinery is the normalizing function $\phi_0$ combined with network-dependent regression that minimizes the HAC variance estimator. For each unit, $\phi_0$ regresses the auxiliary vector $G_i$ on the Horvitz-Thompson weight $w_{\mathrm{HT},i}$ and takes the residual, so that $E[w_{\mathrm{HT},i} \phi_0(G_i)] = 0$ at the potential-outcome level. This forces the unit-level treatment-effect term $\tau_{\phi_0(G),i}$ to be zero, which removes the dependence of the variance-estimator bias $R(\beta)$ on the regression coefficient $\beta$. Once the bias is $\beta$-free, minimizing $\hat{\sigma}^2_\star(\beta)$ asymptotically targets the minimizer of the true variance, yielding the optimal linear adjustment and a consistent variance estimate.

What would settle it

Fix a network where influence decays slowly enough that $\theta_{n,s}$ is not summable, and set $G_i$ to a global feature such as eigenvector centrality or an indicator of treatment at a distant hub; run the proposed $\mathrm{ND}$-$\phi_0(G)$ estimator and check whether its 95% empirical coverage stays at 0.95 and its asymptotic variance is no larger than the unadjusted Hajek estimator, since the theorem predicts that violating Assumption 10 should degrade coverage or worsen precision.

Watch

Extended reading notes

Core claim

The paper establishes that regression adjustment under network interference can be made simultaneously valid and efficiency-improving through two new devices: a class of auxiliary variables $G_i$ that may depend on the treatment vector and the network, and a normalizing map $\phi_0(G_i) = G_i - \gamma_i w_{\mathrm{HT},i}$, where $w_{\mathrm{HT},i}$ is the Horvitz-Thompson weight and $\gamma_i = E[w_{\mathrm{HT},i} G_i]/E[w^2_{\mathrm{HT},i}]$. With this normalization, the unit-level association between the auxiliary variable and the weighted estimator vanishes, which makes the bias of the HAC variance estimator independent of the regression coefficient $\beta$. The network-dependent estimator $\hat{\tau}_{\star,\mathrm{ND}}$ is then defined by minimizing the HAC variance estimator over $\beta$. Theorem 2 shows $n^{1/2}(\hat{\tau}_{\star,\mathrm{ND}}-\tau)/\sigma_\star(\tilde{\beta}^{\mathrm{opt}}_\star)$ converges in distribution to $N(0,1)$ and the estimated variance converges to $\sigma^2_\star(\tilde{\beta}^{\mathrm{opt}}_\star)+R$, so its asymptotic variance is the minimum over all linear adjustments and hence no larger than the unadjusted estimator.

Load-bearing premise

The load-bearing premise is Assumption 10: the chosen auxiliary variables must be bounded, and changing the treatment of a unit at graph distance $s$ must change each unit's auxiliary vector in expectation at the same rate $\theta_{n,s}$ that the ANI assumption imposes on outcomes; if a user builds $G$ from global network features that do not decay spatially, the normalization and optimality results can fail.

Editorial extensions

If this is right

  • Practitioners may include network-based auxiliary variables such as neighbor covariate averages, treated proportions, or exposure indicators, and the resulting estimator is asymptotically normal with variance no larger than the unadjusted Horvitz-Thompson or Hajek estimator.
  • Confidence intervals based on the estimated HAC variance are asymptotically valid and never asymptotically wider than intervals from unadjusted estimators, because $\sigma^2_\star(\tilde{\beta}^{\mathrm{opt}}_\star) \le \sigma^2_\star(0)$.
  • Without the normalizing step, network-dependent regression can be badly inconsistent: in the paper's simulations, estimators lacking the normalization show large bias and severe under-coverage, so the normalization is essential rather than cosmetic.
  • Adding network-informed auxiliary variables through the new method improves efficiency beyond covariate-only adjustment in the paper's simulations, and shortens estimated standard errors in the reanalysis of a field experiment.

Reading between the lines

Editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • Extension: the normalizing map can be viewed as a unit-level projection of auxiliary variables onto the orthogonal complement of the Horvitz-Thompson weight, so the method is a covariate-balancing rather than an outcome-modeling device; this suggests combining it with rerandomized designs, which the paper itself conjectures may further improve precision.
  • Extension: because the theory fixes the dimension of the auxiliary space, a practitioner with many candidate network features needs either dimension reduction or features constructed with geometrically decaying influence, such as powers of the row-normalized adjacency matrix, before the optimality result applies.
  • Extension: one could devise a pre-analysis diagnostic that estimates the decay rate of candidate auxiliary variables under random reassignments of distant treatments; if the decay is not comparable to the outcome's $\theta_{n,s}$, Assumption 10 would be flagged as violated.
  • Extension: under the no-interference benchmark with $T_i = D_i$ and $\pi_i(t) + \pi_i(t') = 1$, the normalizing function becomes a covariate-centering-type adjustment, so the framework contains classical Fisher and Lin regression adjustments as special cases.
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Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, and a circularity audit.

Referee Report

4 major / 5 minor

Summary. The paper develops regression adjustment for randomized network experiments under approximate neighborhood interference (ANI). It defines auxiliary variables G_i that may depend on treatment assignments and network structure, introduces a normalization φ0(G_i) = G_i − γ_i w_HT,i with γ_i = E[w_HT,i G_i]/E[w_HT,i^2], and estimates the treatment effect by minimizing a HAC variance estimator over the regression coefficient β. The main theorem (Theorem 2) claims that the resulting estimator is asymptotically normal at the oracle-optimal variance and that its variance estimator is consistent up to a β-independent bias R, so adjusted confidence intervals are asymptotically no wider and often shorter than unadjusted ones. The paper also proposes a network-dependent version of Fisher's and Lin's regression, illustrates the methods in simulations, and reanalyzes the Cai et al. (2015) insurance experiment.

Significance. The contribution is potentially valuable: it unifies several existing regression-adjusted estimators, provides a principled way to use network features as auxiliary variables, and targets the desirable 'no efficiency loss' property in a design-based, model-free framework. The paper is transparent about its assumptions and includes a useful constructive counterexample showing that naive Fisher/Lin adjustment can hurt precision. However, the central theorem currently rests on an unproven ANI-type condition for the normalized variable, on the oracle availability of γ_i, and on an implicit nonnegativity of the variance bias R. These gaps are technical and likely repairable, but they must be addressed before the results can be fully relied upon.

major comments (4)
  1. [Supplement B, final verification paragraph; Theorem 2] The proof of Theorem 2 applies Theorem 3, which is stated under Assumption 10 with Gi replaced by φ(Gi). The closing sentence of Supplement B asserts that φ0(Gi) satisfies Assumption 10, but this is not demonstrated and is generally false for small s. For 1 ≤ s ≤ K, the term γ_i(w_HT,i(D) − w_HT,i(D^(i,s))) in φ0(Gi(D)) − φ0(Gi(D^(i,s))) can be O(1) even when the outcome ANI coefficient θ_{n,s} is small, because the exposure mapping T_i may depend on treatments to which Yi is insensitive. Thus max_i E||φ0(Gi(D)) − φ0(Gi(D^(i,s)))||∞ ≤ c_G θ_{n,s} need not hold. I do not think this destroys the CLT: in Assumptions 5 and 7 the dependence coefficients are truncated to 1 for s ≤ 2K, so a decay bound for s > K together with boundedness for small s is likely sufficient. The authors need to supply that truncated argument, or add an explicit assumption covering φ0(Gi), instead of the current verification.
  2. [Supplement A, proof of Proposition 1] The verification that (X_i^T 1(T_i=t), X_i^T 1(T_i=t'))^T satisfies Assumption 10 only treats s > 2 max{1,K}; for 1 ≤ s ≤ 2 max{1,K} the indicator difference 1(T_i(D)=t) − 1(T_i(D^(i,s))=t) is generally not O(θ_{n,s}). Since Proposition 1 and Theorem 1 rely on Proposition 2, which is stated under Assumption 10 for the transformed variable, the small-s range is again left unproved. The same truncated-ANI repair as in the previous comment is needed here.
  3. [Section 4.2, Eq. (1); Sections 5.1–5.2] Theorem 2 treats γ_i as known, but the method is implemented by Monte Carlo approximation of γ_i (10^5 draws in the simulation and 10^4 in the real-data analysis). The estimation error in γ_i is not covered by any theorem. If the number of Monte Carlo draws is fixed, the error is O_P(M^{-1/2}) and can affect β̂_ND and the variance estimator; in particular τ_{φ̂0(G),i} is no longer exactly zero, so R(β) is no longer β-independent and the optimality argument in Theorem 2 does not directly apply. The authors should either prove asymptotic equivalence under explicit conditions on M_n (for example M_n/n → ∞) or state clearly that the theoretical results concern the oracle normalization and that the simulations are a numerical check.
  4. [Section 3.2 and Theorem 2(ii)] Theorem 2(ii) establishes σ̂²_⋆(β̂_ND) = σ²_⋆(β̃_opt⋆) + R + o_P(1), but the paper does not assume R ≥ 0. If R is negative with non-negligible magnitude, Wald confidence intervals based on σ̂²_⋆(β̂_ND) will undercover, contradicting the paper's advertised claim of shorter but valid confidence intervals. Proposition 1 notes that R can be negative in general and refers to Leung (2019) for conditions under which the bias is nonnegative, but no such condition appears in Assumption 12 or Theorem 2. The authors should add an explicit nonnegativity or conservative-bias assumption for the settings where confidence intervals are recommended, or quantify the coverage distortion when R < 0.
minor comments (5)
  1. [Throughout] There are several typos: 'variacne' and 'asympototic' in Section 1, 'an a new normalization' in Section 1, 'Hovits-Thompson' in Section 3.1, 'regulatity' in Assumption 6, and 'coordinate' in Assumption 4. The manuscript should be carefully proofread.
  2. [Figure 1] The figure labels the network-dependent auxiliary-variable estimators as ND-G_1 and ND-G_2, while the text and tables use ND-φ0(G1) and ND-φ0(G2). Since ND-G1 and ND-G2 denote the inconsistent unnormalized estimators in Table 1, the figure labels are misleading and should be corrected.
  3. [Table 1] The table has formatting problems: several entries are run together (for example '0.8950.000' and '0.2300.259' in the linear-in-means panel), making the table hard to read.
  4. [Section 4.2] The sentence 'τ_{G,i} = E[w_HT,i G_i]. This is the correlation between w_HT,i and Gi' is imprecise: the quantity is an uncentered cross-expectation, not a correlation or covariance. Please rephrase.
  5. [Assumption 8] The definition of H_n(s,m) uses ℓ_A({i,k},{j,l}); the distance between two-element sets should be defined explicitly, for example as the minimum path distance between any element of {i,k} and any element of {j,l}.

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged · score 0.0 of 10

No significant circularity: the theoretical claims are derived from explicit assumptions and external ANI limit theorems; the normalization is design-based and not fitted to outcomes.

full rationale

The paper's derivation chain is self-contained in the relevant sense. The variance estimator and network-dependent regression estimator are defined from the known treatment assignment distribution and user-specified auxiliary variables. The normalizing function phi0(G_i) = G_i - gamma_i w_HT,i with gamma_i = E[w_HT,i G_i]/E[w_HT,i^2] is a projection coefficient computed from the design and the auxiliary variables, not from outcome data. The key identity tau_{phi0(G),i} = 0 is an algebraic consequence of the definition, and it is used to make the bias term R(beta) independent of beta; this is a construction, not a fitted parameter disguised as a prediction. The optimality statement sigma^2(beta_tilde_opt) <= sigma^2(0) is definitional, but the substantive content of Theorem 2 is the asymptotic normality of the network-dependent estimator and the consistency of its variance estimator, which are proved by reducing the problem to the external ANI results of Leung (2022) and Kojevnikov et al. (2021). No load-bearing self-citation chain is present: the citations to Lu et al. (2023) and other own prior work are not used to justify the central theorem, and Gao and Ding (2023) and Leung (2022) are independent external benchmarks. The main caveat is that Supplement B asserts without proof that phi0(G_i) satisfies Assumption 10; if this verification fails, Theorem 2 is unsupported. However, that is a technical correctness gap, not circular reasoning, because it does not reduce the theorem to its own conclusion or to a fitted input. Overall, no pattern of circular derivation is present.

Assumptions & free parameters 2 free parameters · 7 assumptions · 0 invented entities

No new physical or hypothetical entities are introduced. The auxiliary variables and normalizing function are deterministic functions of observed data and the known treatment assignment distribution. The central claim rests on standard design-based asymptotics plus strong domain assumptions about network interference decay, exposure mapping locality, and auxiliary-variable behavior. The only hand-chosen tuning parameters are the HAC bandwidth and the Monte Carlo sample size.

free parameters (2)
  • HAC bandwidth b_n = 3 (simulations and real-data analysis); theory requires b_n → ∞
    User-specified truncation in the network HAC variance estimator (Section 3.2). Finite-sample standard errors and confidence intervals depend on this choice; it is not estimated from the data.
  • Monte Carlo draws for gamma_i = 10^5 (simulation), 10^4 (real data)
    The normalization φ0 requires gamma_i = E[w_HT,i G_i]/E[w^2_HT,i]; the paper approximates it by Monte Carlo but does not model the resulting approximation error in the theorems.
assumptions (7)
  • domain assumption Assumption 4 (ANI): theta_{n,s} := max_i E|Y_i(D)−Y_i(D^{(i,s)})| → 0 as s→∞.
    Core assumption that interference from units farther than distance s is negligible; used throughout to get consistency and asymptotic normality of the adjusted estimators.
  • domain assumption Assumptions 1, 2, 6 (overlap and boundedness): pi_i(t) in [pi, pi_bar] subset (0,1), |Y_i(d)| <= c_Y, ||X_i||_inf <= c_X.
    Inverse-probability weights and HAC variance estimators require bounded outcomes, covariates, and propensities; excludes rare exposure events.
  • domain assumption Assumption 3 (local exposure mapping): T(i,d,A) depends only on the K-neighborhood of i.
    Defines the causal estimand and restricts the class of estimands; standard in the ANI literature.
  • domain assumption Assumptions 5 and 7 (weak dependency and HAC consistency): certain sums of neighborhood sizes times theta_{n,s} satisfy decay conditions; bandwidth b_n → ∞.
    Imported from Leung (2022); needed for the central limit theorem and for the network HAC variance estimator to be consistent.
  • domain assumption Assumption 10 (auxiliary ANI): ||G_i(d)||_inf <= c_G and max_i E||G_i(D)−G_i(D^{(i,s)})||_inf <= c_G theta_{n,s}.
    The user-chosen auxiliary variables must themselves have decaying network dependence; this is load-bearing for Proposition 2 and Theorem 2.
  • domain assumption Assumptions 8, 9, 11, 12 (nondegeneracy and bias magnitude): Hessians of sigma^2+R are positive definite; sigma^2 > 0; R = n^{-1} sum sum B_ij (tau_i−tau)(tau_j−tau) = O(1).
    Ensures the variance-minimizing coefficient is uniquely identified asymptotically and the variance estimator's bias is of the same order as the sampling variance.
  • standard math External asymptotic results: Leung (2022) Theorems 2 and 4; Kojevnikov et al. (2021) Proposition 4.1; Gao and Ding (2023) variance formulas.
    The proofs rely on these cited results for psi-dependence CLT and HAC consistency; they are not re-derived.

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Pith. "Pith review of Adjusting auxiliary variables under approximate neighborhood interference." pith.science (2026). https://pith.science/paper/BOE7WOFI

@misc{pith2026241119789,
  author       = {Pith},
  title        = {Pith review of: Adjusting auxiliary variables under approximate neighborhood interference},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://pith.science/paper/BOE7WOFI}},
  note         = {Machine review of arXiv:2411.19789}
}
read the original abstract

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for causal inference. However, traditional assumptions, such as the Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption (SUTVA), often fail in real-world settings where interference between units is present. Network interference, in particular, has garnered significant attention. Structural models, like the linear-in-means model, are commonly used to describe interference; but they rely on the correct specification of the model, which can be restrictive. Recent advancements in the literature, such as the Approximate Neighborhood Interference (ANI) framework, offer more flexible approaches by assuming negligible interference from distant units. In this paper, we introduce a general framework for regression adjustment for the network experiments under the ANI assumption. This framework expands traditional regression adjustment by accounting for imbalances in network-based covariates, ensuring precision improvement, and providing shorter confidence intervals. We establish the validity of our approach using a design-based inference framework, which relies solely on randomization of treatment assignments for inference without requiring correctly specified outcome models.

Figures

Figures reproduced from arXiv: 2411.19789 by the authors.

Figure 1
Figure 1. 95% confidence interval of direct effect (left)/ spillover effect (right) via different [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p029_1.png] view at source ↗

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Forward citations

Cited by 1 Pith paper

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Causal Inference under Interference: Regression Adjustment and Optimality

    stat.ME 2025-02 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Under network interference, linear and kernel regression adjustments achieve the smallest asymptotic variance in their classes, and the paper provides consistent variance estimators.

Reference graph

Works this paper leans on

13 extracted references · 12 canonical work pages · cited by 1 Pith paper

  1. [1]

    Aronow, P. M. and C. Samii (2017). Estimating average causal effects under general interference, with application to a social network experiment. The Annals of Applied Statistics 11 , 1912 –

  2. [2]

    For ease of notation, we write ˜Gi ≡ ϕ(Gi)

    To do this, we first prove that Yi − ϕ(Gi)⊤β satisfies Assumptions 2, 4, 5 for Yi and then apply Theorem 4 from Leung (2022) with Yi ≡ Yi − ϕ(Gi)⊤β. For ease of notation, we write ˜Gi ≡ ϕ(Gi). Since Assumption 10 holds for ϕ(Gi), we have, for i ∈ Nn and d ∈ {0, 1}n, |Yi(d) − ˜Gi(d)⊤β| ≤ |Yi(d)| + ∥ ˜Gi(d)∥∞∥β∥1 ≤ cY + ∥β∥1cG and max i∈Nn E[|Yi(D) − Yi(D(i...

  3. [3]

    Define 1 HT(t) = n−1 Pn i=1 1(T i = t)/πi(t)

    Let Gi = (Giq)Q q=1, µG(t) = ( µGq (t))Q q=1 and ˆµ⋆,G(t) = (ˆµ⋆,Gq (t))Q q=1, ⋆ ∈ {HT, Haj}. Define 1 HT(t) = n−1 Pn i=1 1(T i = t)/πi(t). By the proof of Leung (2022, Theorem

  4. [4]

    For ˆσ2 Haj(β), define ˆV ⋆, ˜G,i and V ⋆, ˜G,i analogously as ˆV⋆,i and V⋆,i, with Yi replaced with ˜Gi

    with Yi ≡ Yi − ϕ(Gi)⊤β, we have ˆσ2 HT(β) = σ2 HT(β) + R(β) + oP(1). For ˆσ2 Haj(β), define ˆV ⋆, ˜G,i and V ⋆, ˜G,i analogously as ˆV⋆,i and V⋆,i, with Yi replaced with ˜Gi. ˆVHaj,i(β) and VHaj,i(β) can be expressed as ˆVHaj,i(β) = ˆVHaj,i − ˆV ⊤ Haj, ˜G,iβ and VHaj,i(β) = VHaj,i − V ⊤ Haj, ˜G,iβ, respectively. We have EVHaj,i(β) = τi − τ − β⊤(τ ˜G,i − τ...

  5. [6]

    We define ψ-dependence in line with Definition 2.2 of Kojevnikov et al

    and (ii) ˆσ2 ⋆( ˆβ⋆,ND) − σ2 ⋆( ˜β⋆,ND) − R( ˜β⋆,ND) = oP(1). We define ψ-dependence in line with Definition 2.2 of Kojevnikov et al. (2021) For d ∈ N, let Ld be the set of real-valued bounded Lipschitz functions on Rd: Ld := {f : Rd → R : ∥f ∥∞ < ∞, Lip(f ) < ∞}, where ∥f ∥∞ := supx∈Rd |f (x)| and Lip(f ) indicates the Lipschitz constant of f , that is |...

  6. [7]

    There- fore, we omit it

    The proof is very similar to that of (Leung, 2022, Theorem 1). There- fore, we omit it. Proof of Theorem

  7. [8]

    We see that ˆβ⋆,ND = n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 Bij ˆV ⋆,ϕ(G),i ˆV ⊤ ⋆,ϕ(G),j −1 n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 Bij ˆV ⋆,ϕ(G),i ˆV⋆,j

    We first prove that ˆβ⋆,ND = ˜β⋆,ND + oP(1). We see that ˆβ⋆,ND = n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 Bij ˆV ⋆,ϕ(G),i ˆV ⊤ ⋆,ϕ(G),j −1 n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 Bij ˆV ⋆,ϕ(G),i ˆV⋆,j . Let ˜Gi ≡ ϕ(Gi) = ( ˜Giq)Q q=1. Let ˆV ⋆,ϕ(G),i = ( ˆV⋆, ˜Gq,i)Q q=1 and V ⋆,ϕ(G),i = (V⋆, ˜Gq,i)Q q=1 and τ ϕ(G),i = (τ ˜Gq,i)Q q=1. For simplicity, we write ˆW i = ( ˆV⋆,i, ˆV ⊤ ⋆,ϕ(G),i)⊤ ∈ R1+Q ...

  8. [9]

    Similar as the proof of (Leung, 2022, Theorem 4), we have n−1 nX i=1 nX i=1 (Wiq1 − EWiq1)EWjq2Bij = oP(1)

    = oP(1). Similar as the proof of (Leung, 2022, Theorem 4), we have n−1 nX i=1 nX i=1 (Wiq1 − EWiq1)EWjq2Bij = oP(1). Putting together, we have n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 ˆWiq1 ˆWiq2Bij = Cov(n−1/2 nX i=1 Wiq1, n−1/2 nX i=1 Wjq2)+ n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 EWiq1EWjq2Bij + oP(1). 40 As a consequence, we have n−1 nX i=1 nX j=1 Bij ˆV ⋆,ϕ(G),i ˆV ⊤ ⋆,ϕ(G),j = Cov n−1/2 nX i=1...

Show all 13 references
  1. [10]

    41 In light of the above, applying (Leung, 2022, Theorem

    =ˆτ⋆( ˜β⋆,ND) − τ + oP(n−1/2). 41 In light of the above, applying (Leung, 2022, Theorem

  2. [11]

    Applying (Leung, 2022, Theorem

    = ˆµHT(t) − µ(t)ˆ1HT(t) − ˜β ⊤ Haj,ND{ ˆµHT,ϕ(G)(t) − µϕ(G)(t)ˆ1HT(t)} ˆ1HT(t) − ˆµHT(t′) − µ(t′)ˆ1HT(t′) − ˜β ⊤ Haj,ND{ ˆµHT,ϕ(G)(t′) − µϕ(G)(t′)ˆ1HT(t′)} 1HT(t′) = h ˆµHT(t) − µ(t)ˆ1HT(t) − ˜β ⊤ Haj,ND{ ˆµHT,ϕ(G)(t) − µϕ(G)(t)ˆ1HT(t)} i | {z } =:T1 (1 + OP(n−1/2))− h ˆµHT(t′...

  3. [12]

    As a consequence, we have n1/2(ˆτHaj( ˆβHaj,ND) − τ )/σHaj( ˜βHaj,ND) d − → N(0, 1)

    with Yi ≡ Yi − µ(t)1(T i = t) − µ(t′)1(T i = t′) − (ϕ(Gi)−µϕ(G)(t)1(T i = t)−µϕ(G)(t′)1(T i = t′))⊤ ˜βHaj,ND, we haven1/2(T1−T2) d − → N(0, 1). As a consequence, we have n1/2(ˆτHaj( ˆβHaj,ND) − τ )/σHaj( ˜βHaj,ND) d − → N(0, 1). Now we prove Theorem 2 (ii). |ˆσ2 ⋆( ˆβ⋆,ND) − ˆ...

  4. [13]

    ND-F , ND-L

    (5) Now that ˜β(˜t) = 0, ˜t = 0, 1, we further have σ2 Haj − σ2 L = − 1 n nX i=1 πi(0)πi(1) X ⊤ i βL(1) πi(1) + X ⊤ i βL(0) πi(0) 2 = −  βL(1) βL(0)   ⊤   Pn i=1 πi(0) πi(1) X iX ⊤ i Pn i=1 X iX ⊤ i Pn i=1 X iX ⊤ i Pn i=1 πi(1) πi(0) X iX ⊤ i     βL(1) βL(0).   Thi...

  5. [1947]

    Beaman, L. and A. Dillon (2018). Diffusion of agricultural information within social networks: Evidence on gender inequalities from mali. Journal of Development Eco- nomics 133 , 147–161. Bloniarz, A., H. Liu, C.-H. Zhang, J. S. Sekhon, and B. Yu (2016). Lasso adjustments of t...

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