Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links
Paper Citation Record · LEDGER
Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
As of 21 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 9 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2310.13014.
A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.
Coverage vector
One-hop event checks from named stored sources.
Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00
Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.
Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-08T06:04:54.638034Z
A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.
Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-03T14:48:32.585736Z
Reference resolution
0 of 0 outbound references displayed
- verified exact0
- verified fuzzy0
- unresolved0
- parse uncertain0
- malformed identifier0
- metadata mismatch0
External citation measurements
No source-named external measurement is stored.
Outbound references
No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.
Pith citing papers
Observation 7ef4c0c3-6586-4fc6-bf6a-d27bb7243c2c · inbound
Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction cites this paper.
Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 46
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-08T06:04:54.638034Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 59b0fef3-6fa6-4252-87d4-cf895e2230a5 · inbound
Large Language Models for Predictive Analysis: How Far Are They? cites this paper.
Large Language Models for Predictive Analysis: How Far Are They? Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 40
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T15:05:24.990877Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation eb511723-d2e8-495a-bfb2-835ceb4dc392 · inbound
Predicting Empirical AI Research Outcomes with Language Models cites this paper.
Predicting Empirical AI Research Outcomes with Language Models Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 13
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T12:05:56.438248Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation 6e953722-06b9-48ab-bdcf-561e27305631 · inbound
Argumentatively Coherent Judgmental Forecasting cites this paper.
Argumentatively Coherent Judgmental Forecasting Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 38
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T11:07:41.166925Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.
Observation fd978db5-3b04-404b-b68e-70586b659e71 · inbound
Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents cites this paper.
Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 11
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T15:56:34.435255Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 9147e035-8b81-4cd2-82b3-636290087c71 · inbound
Coordination as an Architectural Layer for LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems cites this paper.
Coordination as an Architectural Layer for LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 8
- Resolution
- verified exact
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T16:36:10.209918Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation b428e2bf-6969-4ab7-a7d5-68ec27a68ae0 · inbound
Building Social World Models with Large Language Models cites this paper.
Building Social World Models with Large Language Models Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 45
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T09:07:47.528126Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation eb00c507-f2c7-4c06-ae74-eed149ae47a4 · inbound
Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry cites this paper.
Diverse Evidence, Better Forecasts: Multi-Agent Deliberation Under Information Asymmetry Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 14
- Resolution
- metadata mismatch
- arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T14:48:32.587084Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00.
Observation 50d8b7b7-9305-47d0-99c9-0ec15f112ea3 · inbound
WorldCup Arena: Prospective, Leakage-Free Evaluation of Frontier LLMs on a Live Tournament cites this paper.
WorldCup Arena: Prospective, Leakage-Free Evaluation of Frontier LLMs on a Live Tournament Large Language Model Prediction Capabilities: Evidence from a Real-World Forecasting Tournament
Reference 4
- Resolution
- unresolved
- no resolver link, observed 2026-08-05T04:16:49.924429Z
Source-reported events for the cited work
Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.