Pith Number

pith:VNHYNVO6

pith:2026:VNHYNVO6NPXMRBXQSSQGKMB7GX

not attested not anchored not stored refs pending

On the optimal prediction of extreme events

Benjamin Bobbia, Stilian Stoev

arxiv:2606.26270 v1 · 2026-06-24 · math.ST · stat.ME · stat.TH

Open paper page JSON Open Graph Bundle Merged state Verified badge What is a Pith Number?

Add to your LaTeX paper

\usepackage{pith}
\pithnumber{VNHYNVO6NPXMRBXQSSQGKMB7GX}

Prints a linked badge after your title and injects PDF metadata. Compiles on arXiv. Learn more · Embed verified badge

Record completeness

1 Bitcoin timestamp

2 Internet Archive

3 Author claim open · sign in to claim

4 Citations open

5 Replications open

✓ Portable graph bundle live · download bundle · merged state

The bundle contains the canonical record plus signed events. A mirror can host it anywhere and recompute the same current state with the deterministic merge algorithm.

Receipt and verification

First computed	2026-06-26T00:15:31.909918Z
Builder	pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1
Signature	Pith Ed25519 (`pith-v1-2026-05`) · public key
Schema	pith-number/v1.0

Canonical hash

ab4f86d5de6beec886f094a065303f35c062e4a787bdcb312000ef3698d289c8

Aliases

arxiv: 2606.26270 · arxiv_version: 2606.26270v1 · doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2606.26270 · pith_short_12: VNHYNVO6NPXM · pith_short_16: VNHYNVO6NPXMRBXQ · pith_short_8: VNHYNVO6

Agent API

Resolver JSON Graph JSON Events JSON Schema Signing key

Verify this Pith Number yourself

curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/VNHYNVO6NPXMRBXQSSQGKMB7GX \
  | jq -c '.canonical_record' \
  | python3 -c "import sys,json,hashlib; b=json.dumps(json.loads(sys.stdin.read()), sort_keys=True, separators=(',',':'), ensure_ascii=False).encode(); print(hashlib.sha256(b).hexdigest())"
# expect: ab4f86d5de6beec886f094a065303f35c062e4a787bdcb312000ef3698d289c8

Canonical record JSON

{
  "metadata": {
    "abstract_canon_sha256": "46b2355b0f681d7c933fb4d865e41161ccf6777468c603c2b39b4d0040e016f3",
    "cross_cats_sorted": [
      "stat.ME",
      "stat.TH"
    ],
    "license": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/",
    "primary_cat": "math.ST",
    "submitted_at": "2026-06-24T18:12:02Z",
    "title_canon_sha256": "da3d17c88887e7251f70bb1602a7fb5bba87309c717a7a01d8cbe19353e83fcb"
  },
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "source": {
    "id": "2606.26270",
    "kind": "arxiv",
    "version": 1
  }
}