pith:VQ5UHYNS
High-Fidelity Capacity Expansion Planning for Puerto Rico's Electric Power System
Puerto Rico requires at least 1.5 GW of new combined-cycle gas capacity beyond planned projects to maintain grid reliability.
arxiv:2604.18926 v2 · 2026-04-21 · math.OC · cs.SY · eess.SY
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Record completeness
Claims
an optimal portfolio includes at least 1.5 GW of new H-class combined cycle capacity beyond planned projects. These additions are needed mainly to replace unreliable legacy thermal units rather than to serve new load. The new combined cycle units eliminate modeled bulk-system load shedding and restore a strong reserve margin, even under stressed load and outage conditions.
The input data from LUMA, PREPA, DOE, and public sources, together with the assumed high forced outage rates of legacy units and the stochastic scenarios for load, renewables, and outages, accurately represent real-world conditions and future uncertainties.
Puerto Rico requires at least 1.5 GW of new H-class combined cycle capacity beyond planned projects to replace unreliable legacy thermal units, eliminate load shedding, and restore reserve margins.
Receipt and verification
| First computed | 2026-07-02T00:18:28.809886Z |
|---|---|
| Builder | pith-number-builder-2026-05-17-v1 |
| Signature | Pith Ed25519
(pith-v1-2026-05) · public key |
| Schema | pith-number/v1.0 |
Canonical hash
ac3b43e1b215b61404d7e3972498ca5f678da567b68dd3b9c5cb5242a3676af3
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Verify this Pith Number yourself
curl -sH 'Accept: application/ld+json' https://pith.science/pith/VQ5UHYNSCW3BIBGX4OLSJGGKL5 \
| jq -c '.canonical_record' \
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# expect: ac3b43e1b215b61404d7e3972498ca5f678da567b68dd3b9c5cb5242a3676af3
Canonical record JSON
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