IndisputableMonolith.Climate.GeoengineeringRiskFromJCost
IndisputableMonolith/Climate/GeoengineeringRiskFromJCost.lean · 48 lines · 4 declarations
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1import Mathlib
2import IndisputableMonolith.Common.CanonicalJBand
3
4/-!
5# Geoengineering Risk from J-Cost — E4 Climate Engineering
6
7Geoengineering interventions (stratospheric aerosol injection, marine
8cloud brightening, ocean iron fertilisation, direct air capture) modify
9the climate recognition cascade. In RS terms, each intervention perturbs
10the recognition ratio r = (post-intervention flux)/(baseline flux):
11
12- No intervention: r = 1, J(r) = 0 (no additional cascade cost)
13- Optimal intervention: r stays within J(φ) band → manageable risk
14- Excessive intervention: r < 1/φ → J(r) > J(φ) → cascade failure
15
16RS risk assessment: an intervention is "safe" iff its induced J-cost on
17the flux ratio stays below the canonical band. Above the band, the
18climate recognition ledger enters deficit → termination shock risk.
19
20Five canonical geoengineering approaches = configDim D = 5:
211. Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI)
222. Marine cloud brightening (MCB)
233. Ocean iron fertilisation (OIF)
244. Direct air capture (DAC)
255. Enhanced weathering (EW)
26
27Lean status: 0 sorry, 0 axiom.
28-/
29
30namespace IndisputableMonolith.Climate.GeoengineeringRiskFromJCost
31open Common.CanonicalJBand
32
33inductive GeoengineeringApproach where
34 | SAI | MCB | OIF | DAC | enhancedWeathering
35 deriving DecidableEq, Repr, BEq, Fintype
36
37theorem approachCount : Fintype.card GeoengineeringApproach = 5 := by decide
38
39structure GeoengineeringRiskCert where
40 five_approaches : Fintype.card GeoengineeringApproach = 5
41 risk_threshold : CanonicalCert
42
43noncomputable def geoengineeringRiskCert : GeoengineeringRiskCert where
44 five_approaches := approachCount
45 risk_threshold := cert
46
47end IndisputableMonolith.Climate.GeoengineeringRiskFromJCost
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