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Proper Scoring Rules for Right-Censored Survival Data

cs.LG · 2026-06-04 · conditional · novelty 7.0

A mapping of predictive distributions through the censoring mechanism yields proper right-censored versions of the CRPS, Brier score, energy score and other losses, with the marginalized form proven proper under conditional independent censoring.

Payment Process Estimation in Aggregated Insurance Models

stat.ME · 2026-06-30 · unverdicted · novelty 4.0

Establishes strong consistency and weak convergence for inverse-probability-weighted estimators of state-specific cumulative payment processes in a sojourn-payment model for aggregated multi-state systems under left-truncation and right-censoring.

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  • Proper Scoring Rules for Right-Censored Survival Data cs.LG · 2026-06-04 · conditional · none · ref 6

    A mapping of predictive distributions through the censoring mechanism yields proper right-censored versions of the CRPS, Brier score, energy score and other losses, with the marginalized form proven proper under conditional independent censoring.

  • Payment Process Estimation in Aggregated Insurance Models stat.ME · 2026-06-30 · unverdicted · none · ref 64

    Establishes strong consistency and weak convergence for inverse-probability-weighted estimators of state-specific cumulative payment processes in a sojourn-payment model for aggregated multi-state systems under left-truncation and right-censoring.