A recurrent SIR model with status-based immunity yields stable recurrent epidemics of similar size, destabilized by high transmission and low antigenic escape, with epidemic size peaking at intermediate basic reproduction number.
PLoS computational biology 3, e159
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Immune history shapes recurrent epidemics of antigenically related variants
A recurrent SIR model with status-based immunity yields stable recurrent epidemics of similar size, destabilized by high transmission and low antigenic escape, with epidemic size peaking at intermediate basic reproduction number.