Prediction market inventories for Africa and Latin America topics are shaped more by settlement legibility than by public salience, with sports and elections favored over conflicts.
Market microstructure: A survey
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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2026 2verdicts
UNVERDICTED 2representative citing papers
PTMC is a proposed Monte Carlo estimator that generates market-outcome distributions by simulating continuous double-auction interactions among persona-conditioned neural-policy bots whose heterogeneity is drawn from a learned distribution.
citing papers explorer
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Persona-Trained Monte Carlo: Estimating Market-Outcome Distributions via Swarms of Persona-Conditioned Neural Policy Bots in a Limit Order Book
PTMC is a proposed Monte Carlo estimator that generates market-outcome distributions by simulating continuous double-auction interactions among persona-conditioned neural-policy bots whose heterogeneity is drawn from a learned distribution.