LightGBM models on citation and diversity features predict exogenous diffusion of quantum computing concepts with R² up to 0.78 while endogenous reinforcement remains largely unpredictable after growth controls, with replications in other fields.
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A two-stage LightGBM model on 59 features from concept networks forecasts link formation and intensity with ROC-AUC 0.95-0.967 across domains.
Early brokerage in academic networks produces cumulative advantage in later participation and career impact for physicists, equally for men and women.
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Forecasting Conceptual Diffusion in Science: The Case of Quantum Computing
LightGBM models on citation and diversity features predict exogenous diffusion of quantum computing concepts with R² up to 0.78 while endogenous reinforcement remains largely unpredictable after growth controls, with replications in other fields.
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Explainable Forecasting of Scientific Breakthroughs from Concept Network Dynamics
A two-stage LightGBM model on 59 features from concept networks forecasts link formation and intensity with ROC-AUC 0.95-0.967 across domains.
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Cumulative Advantage of Brokerage in Academia
Early brokerage in academic networks produces cumulative advantage in later participation and career impact for physicists, equally for men and women.
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An empirical exploration of the diversified R ecosystem
Empirical analysis of CRAN metadata and citation data reveals R's interdisciplinary user base and developer collaborations.