LLM agents match or exceed human methodological diversity and produce aligned effect estimates, yet flip final verdicts from 10% to 90% support under a confirmatory prompt while leaving coefficients unchanged.
Sarah J Link
3 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
verdicts
UNVERDICTED 3representative citing papers
Develops an information-theoretic framework showing surprise and coherence trade off in single reader models but coexist via pre- and post-revelation modes, operationalized as reference-less LLM metrics for fair play and validated on generated stories plus classic detective fiction.
A disinterested Bayesian Predictor trained on contextualized statements has low probability of producing harmful agency because dangerous behaviors require rare coordinated underestimation of harm with no training signal favoring them.
citing papers explorer
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AI Coding Agents in Social Science: Methodologically Diverse, Empirically Consistent, Interpretively Vulnerable
LLM agents match or exceed human methodological diversity and produce aligned effect estimates, yet flip final verdicts from 10% to 90% support under a confirmatory prompt while leaving coefficients unchanged.
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Safety from Honesty in a Disinterested AI Predictor
A disinterested Bayesian Predictor trained on contextualized statements has low probability of producing harmful agency because dangerous behaviors require rare coordinated underestimation of harm with no training signal favoring them.