Expected Threat model error follows an approximate log-normal distribution, enabling rules of thumb for reliable use in football player evaluation despite unobservable ground truth.
Frontiers in Sports and Active Living7(2025) https://doi.or g/10.3389/fspor.2025.1569155
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Model quality in football: Quantifying the quality of an Expected Threat model
Expected Threat model error follows an approximate log-normal distribution, enabling rules of thumb for reliable use in football player evaluation despite unobservable ground truth.