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From augmentation to decomposition: A new look at CUPED in 2023.arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.02935, 2023

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AI-Assisted Variance Reduction in Randomized Experiments

econ.EM · 2026-06-07 · unverdicted · novelty 4.0

Including LLM predictions as covariates in standard regression adjustment for randomized experiments reduces variance with a do-no-harm property that reverts to the unadjusted estimator when predictions are uninformative.

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