LightGBM models on citation and diversity features predict exogenous diffusion of quantum computing concepts with R² up to 0.78 while endogenous reinforcement remains largely unpredictable after growth controls, with replications in other fields.
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Natural experiment from German reunification shows labor demand shock disperses hire quality and fails to boost female hires, converging to West German patterns, with simulations indicating higher quality for marginal female hires.
A two-stage LightGBM model on 59 features from concept networks forecasts link formation and intensity with ROC-AUC 0.95-0.967 across domains.
citing papers explorer
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Forecasting Conceptual Diffusion in Science: The Case of Quantum Computing
LightGBM models on citation and diversity features predict exogenous diffusion of quantum computing concepts with R² up to 0.78 while endogenous reinforcement remains largely unpredictable after growth controls, with replications in other fields.
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A missed opportunity? Labor demand and workforce diversity
Natural experiment from German reunification shows labor demand shock disperses hire quality and fails to boost female hires, converging to West German patterns, with simulations indicating higher quality for marginal female hires.
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Explainable Forecasting of Scientific Breakthroughs from Concept Network Dynamics
A two-stage LightGBM model on 59 features from concept networks forecasts link formation and intensity with ROC-AUC 0.95-0.967 across domains.