A geometric indicator from the normal width of the stochastic separatrix in a random two-state ecosystem model scales linearly with noise intensity and yields an affine relation to the logarithm of mean transition time.
Lohmann, et al., The role of edge states for early warning of cli- mate tipping, Proceedings of the Royal Society A 481 (2025) 20240753
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Climate network analysis of EMIC simulations identifies equatorial teleconnections via normalized degree centrality as the AMOC nears its edge state, with analogous patterns in ESM data.
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Geometric early warning indicator from stochastic separatrix structure in a random two-state ecosystem model
A geometric indicator from the normal width of the stochastic separatrix in a random two-state ecosystem model scales linearly with noise intensity and yields an affine relation to the logarithm of mean transition time.