The historical sequence of papal names is consistent with a random-copying process with innovation, as predicted by Ewens sampling theory and the Chinese restaurant process.
A simple Markov chain for independent Bernoulli variables condi- tioned on their sum
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Quo nomine vis vocari? A random-copying model explains the temporal sequence of papal names
The historical sequence of papal names is consistent with a random-copying process with innovation, as predicted by Ewens sampling theory and the Chinese restaurant process.