Hybrid TimesFM plus ridge regression on covariates forecasts 1-MeV electron flux with average R² of 0.9 on out-of-sample 2024 data, outperforming linear regression, CNN, LSTM and Transformer models.
Forecasting the Geo- magnetic Activity Several Days in Advance Using Neural Networks Driven by Solar EUV Imaging.Journal of Geophysical Research, 127(10):e2022JA030868
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Forecasting megaelectron-volt electron flux in the Earth's outer radiation belt using supervised machine learning algorithms and a timeseries foundation model
Hybrid TimesFM plus ridge regression on covariates forecasts 1-MeV electron flux with average R² of 0.9 on out-of-sample 2024 data, outperforming linear regression, CNN, LSTM and Transformer models.