A note on the ranking of earthquake forecasts
classification
⚛️ physics.geo-ph
keywords
earthquakeforecastsrankinganalyzebasisconsideredforecastingformulate
read the original abstract
The ranking problem of earthquake forecasts is considered. We formulate simple statistical requirements to forecasting quality measure R and analyze some R-ranking methods on this basis, in particular, the pari-mutuel gambling method by Zechar&Zhuang (2014).
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