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arxiv: 2110.05684 · v1 · pith:3N54F2JOnew · submitted 2021-10-12 · 📊 stat.CO

Rare Events via Cross-Entropy Population Monte Carlo

classification 📊 stat.CO
keywords carlocross-entropymontepopulationalgorithmmethodsmixtureapart
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We present a Cross-Entropy based population Monte Carlo algorithm. This methods stands apart from previous work in that we are not optimizing a mixture distribution. Instead, we leverage deterministic mixture weights and optimize the distributions individually through a reinterpretation of the typical derivation of the cross-entropy method. Demonstrations on numerical examples show that the algorithm can outperform existing resampling population Monte Carlo methods, especially for higher-dimensional problems.

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