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Style Transfer with Time Series: Generating Synthetic Financial Data

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arxiv 1906.03232 v2 pith:YXRYHT4I submitted 2019-05-24 q-fin.ST cs.LGstat.ML

classification q-fin.STcs.LGstat.ML
keywords deepdimensionalityfinancialmodeldatagenerativehighlearning
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Training deep learning models that generalize well to live deployment is a challenging problem in the financial markets. The challenge arises because of high dimensionality, limited observations, changing data distributions, and a low signal-to-noise ratio. High dimensionality can be dealt with using robust feature selection or dimensionality reduction, but limited observations often result in a model that overfits due to the large parameter space of most deep neural networks. We propose a generative model for financial time series, which allows us to train deep learning models on millions of simulated paths. We show that our generative model is able to create realistic paths that embed the underlying structure of the markets in a way stochastic processes cannot.

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  1. Synthetic Data for Portfolios: A Throw of the Dice Will Never Abolish Chance

    q-fin.PM 2025-01 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Generating excessive synthetic returns from small samples biases statistics, and generic GANs learn high-variance components that matter least for long-short portfolios.

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