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Constraining the primordial black hole scenario with Bayesian inference and machine learning: the GWTC-2 gravitational wave catalog

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arxiv 2011.01865 v2 pith:VHA33ZXO submitted 2020-11-03 gr-qc astro-ph.COhep-ph

classification gr-qcastro-ph.COhep-ph
keywords pbhsblackdarkfractiongwtc-2matterprimordialbayesian
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal

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abstract

Primordial black holes (PBHs) might be formed in the early Universe and could comprise at least a fraction of the dark matter. Using the recently released GWTC-2 dataset from the third observing run of the LIGO-Virgo Collaboration, we investigate whether current observations are compatible with the hypothesis that all black hole mergers detected so far are of primordial origin. We constrain PBH formation models within a hierarchical Bayesian inference framework based on deep learning techniques, finding best-fit values for distinctive features of these models, including the PBH initial mass function, the fraction of PBHs in dark matter, and the accretion efficiency. The presence of several spinning binaries in the GWTC-2 dataset favors a scenario in which PBHs accrete and spin up. Our results indicate that PBHs may comprise only a fraction smaller than $0.3 \%$ of the total dark matter, and that the predicted PBH abundance is still compatible with other constraints.

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Cited by 8 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. The cosmic history of Primordial Black Hole accretion and its uncertainties

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Accounting for radiative feedback and formation-time effects, accretion grows primordial black holes by at most a few percent in the radiation era and negligibly in the baryonic Park-Ricotti model, while the Bondi mod...

  2. Constraints on primordial black holes from the first part of LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA fourth observing run

    astro-ph.CO 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0 of 10

    O4a gravitational-wave data give 95% CL upper limits f_PBH ~ 1e-2 to 1e-4 for monochromatic primordial black holes with mean masses 0.6-100 M_sun, with no evidence of a PBH merger component.

  3. Primordial Black Hole from Tensor-induced Density Fluctuation: First-order Phase Transitions and Domain Walls

    astro-ph.CO 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0 of 10

    Tensor perturbations from FOPT and domain-wall sources are claimed to induce second-order scalar perturbations large enough to form primordial black holes, potentially all of the dark matter.

  4. Complementary Probes of Warped Extra Dimension: Colliders, Gravitational Waves and Primordial Black Holes from Phase Transitions

    hep-ph 2025-02 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    In Randall-Sundrum warped extra dimension models, the supercooled radion phase transition can form primordial black holes that account for all of dark matter for IR scales 10 TeV to 10^4 TeV, with correlated gravitati...

  5. The Irrelevance of Primordial Black Hole Clustering in the LVK mass range

    astro-ph.CO 2025-02 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    Initial spatial clustering of primordial black holes is irrelevant for binary mergers in the LVK mass range because FIRAS spectral-distortion constraints limit the clustering scale to below the merger-relevant separat...

  6. Closing the Mass Window for Stupendously Large Black Holes

    astro-ph.CO 2025-08 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Primordial black holes heavier than about 10^11 solar masses generate isocurvature perturbations that violate Planck CMB and BAO bounds, ruling them out as a significant dark matter component.

  7. Is the formation of primordial black holes from single-field inflation compatible with standard cosmology?

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Producing primordial black holes in single-field inflation typically forces more than about 55 e-folds after CMB-mode exit, conflicting with standard reheating unless the model is retuned or reheating is exotic.

  8. Whispers from the Early Universe: The Ringdown of Primordial Black Holes

    astro-ph.CO 2025-07 conditional novelty 4.0 of 10

    The stochastic gravitational wave background from primordial black hole ringdown could be observable by future pulsar timing arrays for solar-mass and heavier black holes, with binary merger signals within reach of ne...

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