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Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Sampling

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arxiv 2109.08229 v5 pith:3XTWGO6R submitted 2021-09-16 econ.EM cs.LGstat.ME

classification econ.EMcs.LGstat.ME
keywords theoremasymptoticexplorationpolicysamplingbestchoiceidentification
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We consider the "policy choice" problem -- otherwise known as best arm identification in the bandit literature -- proposed by Kasy and Sautmann (2021) for adaptive experimental design. Theorem 1 of Kasy and Sautmann (2021) provides three asymptotic results that give theoretical guarantees for exploration sampling developed for this setting. We first show that the proof of Theorem 1 (1) has technical issues, and the proof and statement of Theorem 1 (2) are incorrect. We then show, through a counterexample, that Theorem 1 (3) is false. For the former two, we correct the statements and provide rigorous proofs. For Theorem 1 (3), we propose an alternative objective function, which we call posterior weighted policy regret, and derive the asymptotic optimality of exploration sampling.

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  1. Minimax and Bayes Optimal Best-Arm Identification

    econ.EM 2025-06 conditional novelty 8.0 of 10

    TS-SPAS attains the exact asymptotic minimax and Bayes constants for fixed-budget best-arm identification, with matching lower and upper bounds over exponential family outcomes.

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