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Uncertainty-Aware Evaluation for Vision-Language Models

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arxiv 2402.14418 v2 pith:ZTUJCQ5R submitted 2024-02-22 cs.CV cs.AI

classification cs.CVcs.AI
keywords uncertaintymodelsvision-languagevlmsaccuracyevaluationhighestmodel
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Vision-Language Models like GPT-4, LLaVA, and CogVLM have surged in popularity recently due to their impressive performance in several vision-language tasks. Current evaluation methods, however, overlook an essential component: uncertainty, which is crucial for a comprehensive assessment of VLMs. Addressing this oversight, we present a benchmark incorporating uncertainty quantification into evaluating VLMs. Our analysis spans 20+ VLMs, focusing on the multiple-choice Visual Question Answering (VQA) task. We examine models on 5 datasets that evaluate various vision-language capabilities. Using conformal prediction as an uncertainty estimation approach, we demonstrate that the models' uncertainty is not aligned with their accuracy. Specifically, we show that models with the highest accuracy may also have the highest uncertainty, which confirms the importance of measuring it for VLMs. Our empirical findings also reveal a correlation between model uncertainty and its language model part.

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Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. PARC: A Quantitative Framework Uncovering the Symmetries within Vision Language Models

    cs.LG 2025-06 reject novelty 6.0 of 10

    PARC measures prompt sensitivity in VLMs, showing semantic changes hurt most and InternVL2 models are most robust.

  2. Analysis of Image-and-Text Uncertainty Propagation in Multimodal Large Language Models with Cardiac MR-Based Applications

    cs.CV 2025-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A linear uncertainty-propagation model fitted on cardiac MRI plus health-record text is shown to transfer across prediction tasks and data distributions, enabling cheaper uncertainty estimates.

  3. Conformal Sets in Multiple-Choice Question Answering under Black-Box Settings with Provable Coverage Guarantees

    cs.CL 2025-08 conditional novelty 3.0 of 10

    Repeatedly sampling an LLM and using the entropy of answer frequencies yields conformal prediction sets for multiple-choice questions with empirical miscoverage near the target, and AUROC comparable to logit-based scores.

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