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A Foundation Model for the Earth System

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arxiv 2405.13063 v3 pith:XIZM7FWR submitted 2024-05-20 physics.ao-ph cs.LG

classification physics.ao-phcs.LG
keywords auroraearthsystemcomputationaldiversedomainsforecastsfoundation
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Reliable forecasts of the Earth system are crucial for human progress and safety from natural disasters. Artificial intelligence offers substantial potential to improve prediction accuracy and computational efficiency in this field, however this remains underexplored in many domains. Here we introduce Aurora, a large-scale foundation model for the Earth system trained on over a million hours of diverse data. Aurora outperforms operational forecasts for air quality, ocean waves, tropical cyclone tracks, and high-resolution weather forecasting at orders of magnitude smaller computational expense than dedicated existing systems. With the ability to fine-tune Aurora to diverse application domains at only modest computational cost, Aurora represents significant progress in making actionable Earth system predictions accessible to anyone.

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Forward citations

Cited by 18 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. OpenAlex reports about 35 citations worldwide. Full citation record

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  4. Structure-Preserving Learning Improves Geometry Generalization in Neural PDEs

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    A geometry-conditioned Whitney-form neural network that solves a learned discrete conservation law improves out-of-distribution geometry generalization for steady-state PDEs compared with regression-based neural operators.

  5. Pixel-Resolved Long-Context Learning for Turbulence at Exascale: Resolving Small-scale Eddies Toward the Viscous Limit

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  10. LaDCast: A Latent Diffusion Model for Medium-Range Ensemble Weather Forecasting

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  11. PDE-Transformer: Efficient and Versatile Transformers for Physics Simulations

    cs.LG 2025-05 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    PDE-Transformer, a diffusion-transformer variant with shifted-window attention, multi-scale token processing, and per-channel tokens, outperforms leading transformer and operator baselines for PDE surrogate modeling a...

  12. PCDCNet: A Surrogate Model for Air Quality Forecasting with Physical-Chemical Dynamics and Constraints

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    A transformer weather model operating natively on the equal-area HEALPix grid beats an equiangular-grid counterpart at longer lead times with 2.6x fewer parameters.

  14. Towards a Foundation Model for Communication Systems

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  15. 5D Neural Surrogates for Nonlinear Gyrokinetic Simulations of Plasma Turbulence

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  16. EPT-2 Technical Report

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  18. Artificial Intelligence for Atmospheric Sciences: A Research Roadmap

    cs.ET 2025-06 conditional novelty 2.0 of 10

    A research roadmap review of AI applications in atmospheric sciences, covering infrastructure, methods, challenges, and future directions.

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