Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

As of 10 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 13 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2407.01231.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2407.01231 v1

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 13 of 13 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00

measured 13 of 13 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-07T11:49:34.100761Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: pith, observed 2026-07-11T00:07:42.400412Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved0
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation bc1c282c-0441-4a2c-9f11-5271cd59af5b · inbound

From LLM Reasoning to Autonomous AI Agents: A Comprehensive Review cites this paper.

From LLM Reasoning to Autonomous AI Agents: A Comprehensive Review MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 95

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-15T02:57:38.388594Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 0569030f-4731-414e-9a5f-07aa8b8bc04d · inbound

Unraveling Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models via the Pipeline Lens: A Comprehensive Review cites this paper.

Unraveling Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models via the Pipeline Lens: A Comprehensive Review MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-07T11:49:34.100761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f335528e-34cc-4be2-9618-15248c234e3d · inbound

Advancing Event Forecasting through Massive Training of Large Language Models: Challenges, Solutions, and Broader Impacts cites this paper.

Advancing Event Forecasting through Massive Training of Large Language Models: Challenges, Solutions, and Broader Impacts MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T14:22:31.347548Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f751875c-2764-451f-8691-af037b973ef2 · inbound

FutureOmni: Evaluating Future Forecasting from Omni-Modal Context for Multimodal LLMs cites this paper.

FutureOmni: Evaluating Future Forecasting from Omni-Modal Context for Multimodal LLMs MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 47

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T09:30:02.869167Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 171247d7-7dfe-45e6-a543-31b7cc3b21c6 · inbound

LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agents cites this paper.

LATTICE: Evaluating Decision Support Utility of Crypto Agents MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 8

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-12T08:56:25.101008Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation a6f5e92e-7ac9-4017-98b8-960f87a360fc · inbound

OracleProto: A Reproducible Framework for Benchmarking LLM Native Forecasting via Knowledge Cutoff and Temporal Masking cites this paper.

OracleProto: A Reproducible Framework for Benchmarking LLM Native Forecasting via Knowledge Cutoff and Temporal Masking MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 13

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-11T23:41:16.871498Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 7cca45d0-c4ad-407f-bb80-bdc456070376 · inbound

GPU Forecasters: Language Models as Selective Surrogates for Kernel Runtime Optimization cites this paper.

GPU Forecasters: Language Models as Selective Surrogates for Kernel Runtime Optimization MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 40

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-28T23:12:46.931104Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 49675f61-c878-4ba2-9b88-6b315fdf42a6 · inbound

Building Social World Models with Large Language Models cites this paper.

Building Social World Models with Large Language Models MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 128

Resolution: metadata mismatch; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T09:07:47.523932Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 56df8d54-f063-4907-b5ff-78a3e3137172 · inbound

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning cites this paper.

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 42

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.665614Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 666e2d6d-f712-4046-8576-901b80237885 · inbound

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting cites this paper.

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 26

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.131014Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 03674168-b75e-4c82-ab41-8b79cefa3a6d · inbound

ForecastAgentSearch: Towards a Multi-Expert Agent Search System for Geopolitical Event Forecasting cites this paper.

ForecastAgentSearch: Towards a Multi-Expert Agent Search System for Geopolitical Event Forecasting MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 17

Resolution: verified exact; arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-01T12:05:43.267377Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation e137fc9f-7b09-46af-975f-107d4553d660 · inbound

Robust Human-AI Complementarity under Uncertainty cites this paper.

Robust Human-AI Complementarity under Uncertainty MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 13

Resolution: metadata mismatch; local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-11T00:07:42.415476Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-10T06:31:04.303077+00:00.

Observation 7448988e-f880-46cb-b962-95d221232905 · inbound

Hindcast: Replaying Prediction Markets to Evaluate LLM Forecasters cites this paper.

Hindcast: Replaying Prediction Markets to Evaluate LLM Forecasters MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T03:01:21.295439Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.