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KSD Aggregated Goodness-of-fit Test

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arxiv 2202.00824 v6 pith:2OYQQ45V submitted 2022-02-02 stat.ML cs.LGmath.STstat.MEstat.TH

KSD Aggregated Goodness-of-fit Test

classification stat.ML cs.LGmath.STstat.MEstat.TH
keywords ksdaggratetestdatagoodness-of-fitkernelpoweravoids
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We investigate properties of goodness-of-fit tests based on the Kernel Stein Discrepancy (KSD). We introduce a strategy to construct a test, called KSDAgg, which aggregates multiple tests with different kernels. KSDAgg avoids splitting the data to perform kernel selection (which leads to a loss in test power), and rather maximises the test power over a collection of kernels. We provide non-asymptotic guarantees on the power of KSDAgg: we show it achieves the smallest uniform separation rate of the collection, up to a logarithmic term. For compactly supported densities with bounded model score function, we derive the rate for KSDAgg over restricted Sobolev balls; this rate corresponds to the minimax optimal rate over unrestricted Sobolev balls, up to an iterated logarithmic term. KSDAgg can be computed exactly in practice as it relies either on a parametric bootstrap or on a wild bootstrap to estimate the quantiles and the level corrections. In particular, for the crucial choice of bandwidth of a fixed kernel, it avoids resorting to arbitrary heuristics (such as median or standard deviation) or to data splitting. We find on both synthetic and real-world data that KSDAgg outperforms other state-of-the-art quadratic-time adaptive KSD-based goodness-of-fit testing procedures.

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    Augmenting an omnibus test with conditionally calibrated secondary statistics and a small Type I error budget preserves primary power and sharply increases sensitivity to feature-specific departures.