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RieszNet and ForestRiesz: Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Neural Nets and Random Forests

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arxiv 2110.03031 v3 pith:76P6WZGL submitted 2021-10-06 cs.LG econ.EMstat.ML

classification cs.LGecon.EMstat.ML
keywords methoddebiasingfunctionallinearneuraleffectsinterestrandom
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abstract

Many causal and policy effects of interest are defined by linear functionals of high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions. $\sqrt{n}$-consistent and asymptotically normal estimation of the object of interest requires debiasing to reduce the effects of regularization and/or model selection on the object of interest. Debiasing is typically achieved by adding a correction term to the plug-in estimator of the functional, which leads to properties such as semi-parametric efficiency, double robustness, and Neyman orthogonality. We implement an automatic debiasing procedure based on automatically learning the Riesz representation of the linear functional using Neural Nets and Random Forests. Our method only relies on black-box evaluation oracle access to the linear functional and does not require knowledge of its analytic form. We propose a multitasking Neural Net debiasing method with stochastic gradient descent minimization of a combined Riesz representer and regression loss, while sharing representation layers for the two functions. We also propose a Random Forest method which learns a locally linear representation of the Riesz function. Even though our method applies to arbitrary functionals, we experimentally find that it performs well compared to the state of art neural net based algorithm of Shi et al. (2019) for the case of the average treatment effect functional. We also evaluate our method on the problem of estimating average marginal effects with continuous treatments, using semi-synthetic data of gasoline price changes on gasoline demand.

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  1. Targeted Deep Architectures: A TMLE-Based Framework for Robust Causal Inference in Neural Networks

    cs.LG 2025-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    TDA updates a small subset of a neural network's weights along a projected influence-function gradient, debiasing plug-in causal estimates and giving valid confidence intervals.

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