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Foundation Models for Time Series: A Survey

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arxiv 2504.04011 v1 pith:7GDWX4XO submitted 2025-04-05 cs.LG cs.AI

classification cs.LGcs.AI
keywords modelsseriestimefoundationsurveytaxonomyanalysiscurrent
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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Transformer-based foundation models have emerged as a dominant paradigm in time series analysis, offering unprecedented capabilities in tasks such as forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, trend analysis and many more time series analytical tasks. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the art pre-trained foundation models, introducing a novel taxonomy to categorize them across several dimensions. Specifically, we classify models by their architecture design, distinguishing between those leveraging patch-based representations and those operating directly on raw sequences. The taxonomy further includes whether the models provide probabilistic or deterministic predictions, and whether they are designed to work with univariate time series or can handle multivariate time series out of the box. Additionally, the taxonomy encompasses model scale and complexity, highlighting differences between lightweight architectures and large-scale foundation models. A unique aspect of this survey is its categorization by the type of objective function employed during training phase. By synthesizing these perspectives, this survey serves as a resource for researchers and practitioners, providing insights into current trends and identifying promising directions for future research in transformer-based time series modeling.

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Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. TelecomTS: A Multi-Modal Observability Dataset for Time Series and Language Analysis

    cs.AI 2025-10 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    TelecomTS is a new observability dataset from 5G networks that preserves absolute scale and supports multi-modal tasks, showing that current time series and language models struggle with abrupt noisy dynamics.

  2. Modular Foundation Models for Time-Series Perception in Digital Twins

    cs.LG 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    A gated bank of frozen self-supervised time-series encoders, aligned and aggregated by a Transformer, supports competitive multi-task perception for digital twins and hydro-generator virtual sensing.

  3. Comparative Analysis of Time Series Foundation Models for Demographic Forecasting: Enhancing Predictive Accuracy in US Population Dynamics

    cs.LG 2025-08 reject novelty 3.0 of 10

    TimesFM achieved the lowest MSE on 13 of 15 US state-race population forecast tasks, but the paper fine-tuned it for 50 epochs per state despite claiming no task-specific fine-tuning.

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