REVIEW 4 major objections 5 minor 82 references
TuCo: Measuring the Contribution of Fine-Tuning to Individual Responses of LLMs
T0 review · 4 major / 5 minor · reviewed 2026-08-06 · deepseek-v4-flash
Pith's one-line read The paper claims every fine-tuned LLM decomposes exactly into pre-training and fine-tuning parts, and the ratio TuCo measures how much fine-tuning shaped each response.
desk verdict TuCo is a genuinely useful per-prompt metric with strong cross-model empirical results, but the paper's central claim that it measures fine-tuning's causal contribution is unvalidated and partly confounded with distribution shift. read the letter →
The pith
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
The reading
What carries the argument
The load-bearing object is the canonical decomposition of a fine-tuned transformer into two generalized components: PTC, the output of the pre-trained layer on the same residual-stream input, and FTC, the difference between the fine-tuned and pre-trained layer outputs. Because every residual layer adds its output to the stream, the accumulated sums $\mathrm{PTC}_l$ and $\mathrm{FTC}_l$ make the final hidden state an exact sum of a pre-training and a fine-tuning contribution. A discrete Grönwall inequality converts the ratio of these accumulated magnitudes into a bound on how far the fine-tuned final state can drift from the pre-trained one, and TuCo is the last-token form of that ratio, chosen so that pre-training and fine-tuning contributions sum to one.
What would settle it
Take a harmless prompt and its translation into a low-resource language such as Swahili or Malayalam; if TuCo drops just as much for the benign translation as for the harmful one while the model's helpfulness and refusal behavior are unchanged, then TuCo is tracking distribution shift rather than the causal contribution of fine-tuning.
Extended reading notes
Core claim
The central discovery is the exact canonical decomposition $f^{\mathrm{FT}}_\Theta(x,l) = \mathrm{PTC}(x,l) + \mathrm{FTC}(x,l)$ with $\mathrm{PTC}(x,l) = f^{\mathrm{PT}}_\phi(x,l)$ and $\mathrm{FTC}(x,l) = f^{\mathrm{FT}}_\Theta(x,l) - f^{\mathrm{PT}}_\phi(x,l)$. Because transformer layers write additively to the residual stream, the final hidden state satisfies $x_L = x_0 + \mathrm{PTC}_L + \mathrm{FTC}_L$, and a discrete Grönwall bound shows that the ratio $\beta_l = \|\mathrm{FTC}_l\|_1/(\|\mathrm{PTC}_l\|_1 + \|\mathrm{FTC}_l\|_1)$ controls the distance between the pre-trained and fine-tuned final hidden states. TuCo is the last-token version of this ratio, $\mathrm{TuCo}(x) = \|\mathrm{proj}_n(\mathrm{FTC}_L)\|_1/(\|\mathrm{proj}_n(\mathrm{PTC}_L)\|_1 + \|\mathrm{proj}_n(\mathrm{FTC}_L)\|_1)$. The paper's empirical claim is that this scalar is behaviorally meaningful: multiplying the fine-tuning component by $\alpha \in [0.75, 1.25]$ shifts MMLU accuracy by up to about 5% and agreement with Christian beliefs by up to 24% on Llama 2 13B, and three jailbreak families make TuCo drop, with AUC 0.87 separating successful from unsuccessful attacks on Llama 2 13B.
Load-bearing premise
The load-bearing assumption is that the magnitude of the fine-tuning component—the difference between fine-tuned and pre-trained layer outputs—reflects how much fine-tuning actually causes the response, rather than merely how unusual the input is for the fine-tuned model.
Editorial extensions
If this is right
- Scaling the fine-tuning component during the forward pass is a control knob: on MMLU, 71% of tasks improve out-of-sample with average gains of 1.03–2.69%, and agreement with Christian beliefs rises by 24% for Llama 2 13B when the component is scaled by $\alpha = 1.25$.
- All three jailbreak families reduce TuCo, and increasing many-shot attack intensity lowers TuCo monotonically, which the paper interprets as the attack implicitly applying FTC-scaling with $\alpha < 1$.
- Successful jailbreaks have lower TuCo than unsuccessful ones (AUC 0.87 for Llama 2 13B and above 0.8 for most other tested models), so TuCo can be used as an analysis signal for where safety-tuning has lost its grip.
- TuCo separates pre-training-like web text from chat-like fine-tuning inputs with AUC above 0.8 for eight of nine models, supporting the claim that it tracks the fine-tuning regime rather than prompt length or perplexity.
- TuCo is computable at inference time from two forward passes, so it can be applied to open billion-parameter models without training probes or gradient access.
Reading between the lines
- If TuCo is read as an anomaly score rather than a causal measure, the conjugate-prompting result predicts that any out-of-distribution input, even a harmless one, should lower TuCo; this is directly testable on benign prompts translated to Swahili or Malayalam.
- The FTC-scaling result opens the possibility of an inference-time 'fine-tuning dial' for open models, but the paper does not propose it as a defense, and it would not transfer to closed models where the pre-trained base is unavailable.
- A natural extension is to compute layer-level or token-level TuCo maps to localize where fine-tuning's contribution enters the forward pass; the paper only defines the scalar per-prompt value.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The paper proposes TuCo, a per-prompt metric intended to quantify how much fine-tuning contributes to an LLM's individual responses. The method assumes access to both a pre-trained model and its fine-tuned counterpart. The core algebraic observation, formalized in Proposition D.3, is that at every residual layer the fine-tuned layer output can be written exactly as the pre-trained layer output evaluated on the fine-tuned trajectory (PTC) plus the difference between the fine-tuned and pre-trained layer outputs (FTC). The paper proves a discrete Grönwall bound (Proposition 4.2) showing that the maximum over layers of a certain ratio of cumulative FTC and PTC norms controls the distance between final hidden states of the two models. TuCo is then defined in Definition 4.3 as the norm of the cumulative last-token FTC divided by the sum of the norms of the cumulative last-token PTC and FTC. Empirically, the paper shows that scaling FTC by a factor α can modulate model behavior on Model-Written Evaluations and MMLU; that TuCo is lower for OpenWebText than for HH-RLHF chats; that three jailbreak attacks (GCG, conjugate prompting, many-shot) are reported to reduce TuCo; and that TuCo is lower on successful jailbreaks for most tested models. The paper interprets these results as quantitative evidence that jailbreaks attenuate the effect of fine-tuning during the forward pass.
Significance. If the central interpretive claim were validated, TuCo would be a valuable, inexpensive interpretability tool: it requires only two forward passes and no training, and the layer-wise decomposition is exact and model-agnostic. The alpha-scaling experiments are a genuinely interesting intervention, showing that the FTC direction carries behaviorally relevant signal for several behaviors and tasks. The paper is also commendable for releasing code and for being explicit about the requirements and limitations of the method. However, the significance is currently limited by an unvalidated leap from 'FTC norm is large' to 'fine-tuning contributes to this response.' The paper's own example in Appendix B shows that TuCo can be nonzero when the fine-tuned and pre-trained models produce identical final hidden states (and hence identical sampling distributions), which directly contradicts the name and interpretation of the metric as measuring contribution to a response. Several empirical claims, notably the claim that all three jailbreak attacks reduce TuCo, are not supported by the reported per-model AUCs.
major comments (4)
- [§4.4–4.5, Proposition 4.2 and Definition 4.3] Proposition 4.2 bounds the final-state discrepancy in terms of β = max_{0≤l<L} ∥FTC_l∥ / (∥PTC_l∥ + ∥FTC_l∥), but TuCo is defined using β_L (the final-layer cumulative ratio) and only the last token. The theorem does not imply a bound or guarantee for TuCo. The discussion in §4.5 and Appendix A justifies these changes by symmetry and interpretability, but no matching theorem or even a formal heuristic is supplied. As written, the theoretical analysis does not support the claim that a low TuCo means fine-tuning has little effect on the response; it supports a statement about a different quantity. Please either prove a similar bound for TuCo (or a related quantity), or clearly state in the main text that TuCo is a heuristic metric motivated by, but not implied by, Proposition 4.2.
- [§4.1 and Appendix B, Example B.1] Example B.1 is a two-layer construction where the fine-tuned and pre-trained models have identical final hidden states, yet TuCo = 1/4. Since the final hidden state determines the next-token distribution, the response is identical in both models, so fine-tuning makes no causal contribution to the response on this input. The paper embraces this as a feature (capturing internal activity), but it undermines the metric's name and its central interpretation as measuring the contribution of fine-tuning to a response. The alpha-scaling experiments in §5.1 show that the FTC direction contains task-relevant signal in aggregate, but they do not establish that a prompt's TuCo value predicts how much fine-tuning actually changes that prompt's output. Please add a per-prompt validation: for example, correlate TuCo with the change in output distribution when FTC is scaled or removed, or with the actual distance between fine-tuned and pre-trained output distributions across a diverse prompt set.
- [§5.3, Table 1] The sentence 'We find that all three attacks significantly decrease TuCo when applied to harmful prompts' is not supported by the CP columns of Table 1. For Gemma 7B the Japanese-vs-low-resource AUC is 0.12, for Zephyr Gemma the Japanese AUC is 0.23 and Hungarian is 0.19, and for Llama 3 8B the Hungarian AUC is 0.40. These values indicate the opposite direction for a substantial fraction of model/language pairs. The clean web-share ordering is demonstrated only for Llama 2 13B. Please report per-language-pair statistics with confidence intervals, and either soften the claim to the models/languages where the effect holds, or explain why the reversed AUCs are consistent with the overall conclusion.
- [§5.2–5.4] The empirical comparisons are confounded by distribution shift and prompt length. OpenWebText and HH-RLHF differ in many ways beyond 'pre-training-like' versus 'chat-like'; many-shot jailbreaks increase prompt length; conjugate prompting changes language and token distribution; GCG adds an adversarial suffix. Since TuCo is lower on OpenWebText, the observed decreases under jailbreaks could be an anomaly-score effect — prompts far from the fine-tuning distribution tend to have smaller layer-wise differences — rather than attenuation of fine-tuning's causal role. The statement in §5.4 that TuCo is 'not merely reflecting spurious aspects of the prompt (e.g. length or perplexity)' is not backed by any control. Please include explicit controls (e.g., length-matched prompts, perplexity-matched non-attack prompts, or regression analyses partialling out these variables) so that the causal interpretation is not confounded.
minor comments (5)
- [§5.2, Table 1] The text says the AUC is above 0.80 for all but two models, but the table shows only Zephyr Gemma (0.63) below 0.80; please correct the count.
- [§5.1, Appendix F.1] The statistical significance claims for MWE and MMLU are reported without standard errors, p-values, or multiple-testing correction; please provide these details or clarify the test used.
- [Algorithm 1] Algorithm 1's comment 'Compute PTC for layer l' could be misinterpreted as running the pre-trained model's own forward pass; the fact that PTC is evaluated on the fine-tuned trajectory is explained in the text but should be emphasized in the algorithm caption as well.
- [Appendix D.4] There are several typographical issues in the proof of Corollary D.5 (e.g., malformed summation indices) and in Appendix D.5 ('traingle inequality', 'Propostion'); please proofread the appendix carefully.
- [§5.3] For many-shot jailbreaking, the paper reports a downward trend in TuCo with the number of shots, but the prompt length also increases with the number of shots; a length-controlled comparison would strengthen the interpretation.
Circularity Check
TuCo is defined as a norm ratio of a layer-wise difference, and the paper's central claim that it 'measures the contribution of fine-tuning' is true by that definition, though independent scaling and AUC experiments give the metric empirical content.
-
self definitional
[Section 4.5, Definition 4.3; Proposition D.3; Appendix A]
"FTC(x, l) := f_FT_theta(x, l) - f_PT_phi(x, l). ... TuCo(x) := ||projn(FTCL)||_1 / (||projn(PTCL)||_1 + ||projn(FTCL)||_1). ... Since the final hidden state is given by xL = x0 + PTCL + FTCL, and TuCo = ..., we can interpret TuCo as the 'fraction' of the final hidden state that is attributable to the fine-tuning component."
The quantity the paper claims to measure, 'the contribution of fine-tuning to an individual response,' is never given an independent operationalization. Instead, 'contribution' is defined to be the norm ratio of FTC, and FTC itself is defined as the layer-wise output difference between the fine-tuned and pre-trained models. Thus the statement that TuCo measures fine-tuning contribution is true by construction, not by empirical validation. In particular, the jailbreak conclusion that attacks 'attenuate the effect of fine-tuning' is a restatement, through this definition, of the observation that the norm of this defined difference is smaller on such prompts.
full rationale
The algebraic decomposition in Proposition D.3 is exact but tautological: since FTC is defined as f_FT - f_PT, the identity f_FT = PTC + FTC holds by construction. TuCo is then defined from these components, and the paper's core interpretive claim equates TuCo with 'tuning contribution.' This is a self-definitional step: no ground-truth notion of contribution is defined independently of TuCo, so the claim that TuCo measures contribution reduces to its definition. However, the paper does not stop at the definition. The FTC alpha-scaling experiments (Section 5.1) show that scaling the FTC direction alters model behavior and MMLU/MWE agreement, which is independent evidence that this activation-space component carries behavioral signal. The empirical AUC results for distinguishing successful from unsuccessful jailbreaks are also not forced by the definition. There are no load-bearing self-citations: the cited competing-objectives hypotheses (Kotha et al., Wei et al.) are external prior work, not the authors' own. There are no fitted parameters renamed as predictions and no imported uniqueness theorems. The circularity is therefore localized to the interpretive equation 'TuCo = contribution,' which is definitional rather than derived. Because the central metric's meaning is definitional but the empirical demonstrations provide independent content, a moderate score of 4 is appropriate.
Assumptions & free parameters
free parameters (1)
- alpha (FTC scaling factor) =
grid in [0.75, 1.25]
assumptions (4)
- domain assumption Transformer layers are residual: x_{l+1} = x_l + f(x_l, l).
- domain assumption PTC is bounded and Lipschitz with respect to x.
- standard math Discrete Gronwall inequality (Clark 1987).
- domain assumption The pre-trained and fine-tuned models share the same architecture, layer count, and tokenizer.
Cite this review
Pith. "Pith review of TuCo: Measuring the Contribution of Fine-Tuning to Individual Responses of LLMs." pith.science (2026). https://pith.science/paper/7YBPFCQ4
@misc{pith2026250623423,
author = {Pith},
title = {Pith review of: TuCo: Measuring the Contribution of Fine-Tuning to Individual Responses of LLMs},
year = {2026},
howpublished = {\url{https://pith.science/paper/7YBPFCQ4}},
note = {Machine review of arXiv:2506.23423}
}
read the original abstract
Past work has studied the effects of fine-tuning on large language models' (LLMs) overall performance on certain tasks. However, a quantitative and systematic method for analyzing its effect on individual outputs is still lacking. Here, we propose a new method for measuring the contribution that fine-tuning makes to individual LLM responses, assuming access to the original pre-trained model. Our method tracks the model's intermediate hidden states, providing a more fine-grained insight into the effects of fine-tuning than a simple comparison of final outputs from pre-trained and fine-tuned models. We introduce and theoretically analyze an exact decomposition of any fine-tuned LLM into a pre-training component and a fine-tuning component. Empirically, we find that model behavior and performance can be steered by up- or down-scaling the fine-tuning component during the forward pass. Motivated by this finding and our theoretical analysis, we define the Tuning Contribution (TuCo) as the ratio of the magnitudes of the fine-tuning component to the pre-training component. We observe that three prominent adversarial attacks on LLMs circumvent safety measures in a way that reduces TuCo, and that TuCo is consistently lower on prompts where these attacks succeed compared to those where they do not. This suggests that attenuating the effect of fine-tuning on model outputs plays a role in the success of such attacks. In summary, TuCo enables the quantitative study of how fine-tuning influences model behavior and safety, and vice versa.
Figures
Figures from the paper (4 more)
Reference graph
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