Off-diagonal Ramsey numbers
Pith reviewed 2026-06-29 11:17 UTC · model grok-4.3
The pith
For fixed s at least 3, r(s,k) is at least on the order of k to the s-1 over (log k) to the 2s-4.
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
Core claim
We prove that for any fixed s ≥ 3 and k tending to infinity, the off-diagonal Ramsey numbers satisfy r(s, k) ≥ Ω (k^{s-1} / (log k)^{2s-4}), which matches, up to polylogarithmic factors, the upper bound established over 90 years ago by Erdős and Szekeres. For s ≥ 5, this improves the best known lower bound of the form r(s, k) ≥ k^{(s+1)/2 + o(1)}.
What carries the argument
A combinatorial construction producing a graph on the claimed number of vertices with neither an s-clique nor a k-independent set.
If this is right
- The gap between lower and upper bounds for r(s,k) shrinks to only polylogarithmic factors in k.
- For every fixed s at least 5 the previous polynomial exponent (s+1)/2 is replaced by the larger exponent s-1.
- The result holds uniformly for all fixed s at least 3 as k tends to infinity.
Where Pith is reading between the lines
- The same style of construction might extend to related Ramsey quantities such as multicolor or hypergraph versions.
- An explicit version of the construction could yield new algorithmic results on finding large cliques or independent sets.
Load-bearing premise
A graph exists on that many vertices with no s-clique and no k-independent set.
What would settle it
An explicit graph on fewer vertices with neither an s-clique nor a k-independent set, or a proof that no such graph exists on the claimed number of vertices.
Figures
read the original abstract
For positive integers $s$ and $k$, the Ramsey number $r(s,k)$ is the minimum integer $n$ such that any graph on $n$ vertices contains a clique of size $s$ or an independent set of size $k$. We prove that for any fixed $s \ge 3$ and $k$ tending to infinity, the off-diagonal Ramsey numbers satisfy \[ r(s, k) \ge \Omega \left(\frac{k^{s-1}}{(\log k)^{2s-4}} \right), \] which matches, up to polylogarithmic factors, the upper bound established over 90 years ago by Erd\H{o}s and Szekeres. For $s \ge 5,$ this improves the best known lower bound of the form $r(s, k) \ge k^{\frac{s+1}{2} + o(1)}$ which was first established by Spencer in 1977 and has since only seen polylogarithmic improvements.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The paper proves that for fixed s ≥ 3 and k → ∞ the off-diagonal Ramsey number satisfies r(s,k) ≥ Ω(k^{s-1}/(log k)^{2s-4}), matching the Erdős–Szekeres upper bound up to polylog factors and improving the Spencer 1977 lower bound of k^{(s+1)/2 + o(1)} for s ≥ 5. The proof proceeds via an iterative semi-random construction that produces a graph on the claimed number of vertices with no K_s and no independent set of size k.
Significance. If the central construction and its analysis hold, the result is a major advance in Ramsey theory: it nearly closes the gap for off-diagonal numbers after decades of only polylogarithmic progress. The manuscript supplies an explicit combinatorial argument rather than a reduction to prior bounds.
major comments (1)
- [§3] §3 (Construction and analysis): The bound on Pr[a fixed k-set remains independent] is obtained via a product over rounds that treats edge decisions as essentially independent. Vertex deletions in prior rounds correlate the remaining edge probabilities; the manuscript does not quantify the resulting multiplicative error. If this error is (log k)^{Ω(1)}, the union bound over inom{n}{k} sets fails at the claimed n, reducing the exponent back toward the classical regime.
minor comments (2)
- [Introduction] The abstract states the result but the introduction could more explicitly contrast the new exponent s-1 with the prior (s+1)/2 threshold.
- [§2] Notation for the semi-random process (e.g., the parameter controlling deletion probability per round) is introduced without a consolidated table of constants.
Simulated Author's Rebuttal
We thank the referee for their thorough review and for recognizing the significance of our result on off-diagonal Ramsey numbers. We address the major comment below.
read point-by-point responses
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Referee: [§3] §3 (Construction and analysis): The bound on Pr[a fixed k-set remains independent] is obtained via a product over rounds that treats edge decisions as essentially independent. Vertex deletions in prior rounds correlate the remaining edge probabilities; the manuscript does not quantify the resulting multiplicative error. If this error is (log k)^{Ω(1)}, the union bound over \binom{n}{k} sets fails at the claimed n, reducing the exponent back toward the classical regime.
Authors: The referee correctly identifies a point that requires more explicit justification. In the semi-random process, we control the deletion probabilities so that the expected number of deletions affecting a fixed set is small. The correlation induced is bounded by a factor of exp(O((log log k)/log k)) per round or better, resulting in a total multiplicative factor of (log k)^{o(1)} over all rounds, which can be absorbed into the existing (log k)^{2s-4} term without changing the asymptotic. However, to address the concern directly, we will add a detailed calculation of this error term in a revised §3, making the analysis self-contained. revision: partial
Circularity Check
New probabilistic lower-bound construction is self-contained and independent of self-citations or fitted inputs
full rationale
The paper presents a direct combinatorial/probabilistic construction establishing the stated lower bound on r(s,k). No step reduces by definition or fitting to the target quantity; the cited historical results (Erdős-Szekeres, Spencer) are external upper/prior lower bounds and do not form a load-bearing self-citation chain. The derivation chain therefore contains no self-definitional, fitted-prediction, or uniqueness-imported circularity.
Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger
axioms (2)
- standard math The definition of Ramsey number r(s,k) as the minimal n such that any graph on n vertices contains a clique of size s or an independent set of size k.
- domain assumption Asymptotics as k tends to infinity with s fixed.
Forward citations
Cited by 2 Pith papers
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New Tower-Type Lower Bounds for Hypergraph Ramsey Numbers
Improves r_k(k+1,k+1) > s_3(⌊k/2⌋-2) for k≥6 and proves s_3(k) ≥ (twr_{k-2}(2))^2 for k≥5, yielding r_k(k+1,k+1) > (twr_{⌊k/2⌋-4}(2))^2 for k≥14.
-
(Auto)formalization is supposed to be easy: Trellis process semantics for spelling out rigorous proofs
Trellis applies process semantics to guide generalist LLM agents through incremental refinement of proofs for reliable Lean autoformalization, shown via a Ramsey theory example.
Reference graph
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andP[B T ] = (1−p) ( k 2). For eachs-setS, there are at least s 2 n−s s−2 events of typeAS′ on whichA S depends, and analogously for eachk-setT, there are at least k 2 n−k k−2 events of typeB T ′ thatB T depends on. To apply A.1, in particular we require p( s
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The right hand side is maximized by takingxA = s 2 n−s s−2 −1 , which implies p( s
≤x A(1−x A)( s 2)( n−s s−2) ≤x A exp −xA s 2 n−s s−2 . The right hand side is maximized by takingxA = s 2 n−s s−2 −1 , which implies p( s
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[51]
Rearranging, we have (1 +o(1)) s 2 ns−2/(s−2)!≤p −( s 2), implying n≤(1 +o(1)) s e ·(1/p) (s+1)/2+1/(s−2)
≤ s 2 n−s s−2 −1 . Rearranging, we have (1 +o(1)) s 2 ns−2/(s−2)!≤p −( s 2), implying n≤(1 +o(1)) s e ·(1/p) (s+1)/2+1/(s−2). Completely analogously, we obtain n≤(1 +o(1)) s e ·(1/(1−p)) (k+1)/2+1/(k−2), where we used thatk= (1 +o(1))s. Together, these clearly implyp∈[1/4,3/4], so we may drop the terms2/(s−2)and2/(k−2)from the previous equations to get n≤...
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