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arxiv: 1704.07698 · v5 · pith:BTJY2TIInew · submitted 2017-04-25 · 🧮 math.NA · cs.NA

Optimal Transport Filtering with Particle Reweighing in Finance

classification 🧮 math.NA cs.NA
keywords particleapproachfilteringflowhomotopyoptimalreweighingstochastic
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We show the application of an optimal transportation approach to estimate stochastic volatility process by using the flow that optimally transports the set of particles from the prior to a posterior distribution. We also show how to direct the flow to a rarely visited areas of the state space by using a particle method (a mutation and a reweighing mechanism). We demonstrate the efficiency of our approach on a simple example of the European option price under the Stein-Stein stochastic volatility model for which a closed form formula is available. Both homotopy and reweighted homotopy methods show a lower variance, root-mean squared errors and a bias compared to other filtering schemes recently developed in the signal-processing literature, including particle filter techniques.

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