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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation

As of 17 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 70 of 70 outbound references and 5 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2508.13144.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2508.13144 v1

Coverage vector

measured 70 of 70 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:06.866133Z

measured 75 of 75 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00

measured 5 of 5 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-15T14:19:01.315611Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-02T23:47:27.665680Z

Reference resolution

70 of 70 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact1
  • verified fuzzy16
  • unresolved52
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier1
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation e05913ba-f248-470b-8ce7-89afcc758094 · outbound

This paper cites Program Synthesis with Large Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Program Synthesis with Large Language Models

Reference 1

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Observation 5bed2fbe-23cb-4657-8495-93c4718f35d4 · outbound

This paper cites An empirical investigation of statistical significance in NLP.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation An empirical investigation of statistical significance in NLP

Reference 2

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

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Observation a3c03f77-dfbd-46e9-b42f-b5aad8f57ab6 · outbound

This paper cites Establishing Task Scaling Laws via Compute-Efficient Model Ladders.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Establishing Task Scaling Laws via Compute-Efficient Model Ladders

Reference 3

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Observation fdbc956b-b11b-446a-8cb6-66e797f35396 · outbound

This paper cites Piqa: Reasoning about physical commonsense in natural language.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Piqa: Reasoning about physical commonsense in natural language

Reference 4

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.615220Z digest=sha256:84c402af62996333231ea5708d1cd49f795f001847c3fcb36a40200730f9ef64

Observation b1035626-9902-496a-8b1b-58858639b199 · outbound

This paper cites Does your data spark joy? Performance gains from domain upsampling at the end of training.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Does your data spark joy? Performance gains from domain upsampling at the end of training

Reference 5

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.619163Z digest=sha256:501bce58ede9ec32fa4e2a3c2d9d8d2f23952a19d318a58db2e9573f1a0d60ee

Observation 9ecacb2e-2e88-4c62-b564-f43dbd4ca89c · outbound

This paper cites Position: Don't Use the CLT in LLM Evals With Fewer Than a Few Hundred Datapoints.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Position: Don't Use the CLT in LLM Evals With Fewer Than a Few Hundred Datapoints

Reference 6

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.623462Z digest=sha256:f6d3a970a7b98cd67496f9a37037d8b0cf0401ff8003258a8992090c1735f73c

Observation 67ec5ff3-50be-4280-ba5e-f485d514b922 · outbound

This paper cites With little power comes great responsibility.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation With little power comes great responsibility

Reference 7

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.627643Z digest=sha256:edc2cc978564e555a1ce61cd21f4d2af9de8e1b021f86079053ea7eef9d4a933

Observation 4f4b48fe-7993-4785-8546-de05fc20e669 · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code

Reference 8

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.631354Z digest=sha256:ea6342af9053fbabada54d6e4bc2629a77cd5f8e88a861a182fcf4ec4d3d7870

Observation 399d888d-29f1-4d1f-8c83-57a8af153571 · outbound

This paper cites A Hitchhiker's Guide to Scaling Law Estimation.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation A Hitchhiker's Guide to Scaling Law Estimation

Reference 9

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.635018Z digest=sha256:15fb0d621b07445ba2a2ba3b82c6deeb2b26cfa38baf8b3d165bfce530cbace0

Observation d74f2461-158f-444f-917f-42dc1d26a352 · outbound

This paper cites Boolq: Exploring the surprising difficulty of natural yes/no questions.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Boolq: Exploring the surprising difficulty of natural yes/no questions

Reference 10

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Observation 6d534e44-cf20-48f6-8125-ccec2d3e7422 · outbound

This paper cites Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge

Reference 11

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Observation 71e8644f-a36e-4011-aaa5-e94db02090b5 · outbound

This paper cites Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems

Reference 12

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Observation 6f107d14-e154-4053-9744-c53c6b3497de · outbound

This paper cites Un- derspecification presents challenges for credibility in modern machine learning.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Un- derspecification presents challenges for credibility in modern machine learning

Reference 13

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

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Observation b2512895-8f04-436e-91a2-f72e947e82d9 · outbound

This paper cites Fine-Tuning Pretrained Language Models: Weight Initializations, Data Orders, and Early Stopping.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Fine-Tuning Pretrained Language Models: Weight Initializations, Data Orders, and Early Stopping

Reference 14

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.654290Z digest=sha256:384ea38024d88923181ccb1399ad163e6b86c04ffe5545b70ee129a32083b125

Observation 12920284-d0f9-4e04-a45f-19beed62d836 · outbound

This paper cites Understanding Emergent Abilities of Language Models from the Loss Perspective.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Understanding Emergent Abilities of Language Models from the Loss Perspective

Reference 15

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Observation 849ef073-95a7-4bbc-a4b5-9b742438d1f2 · outbound

This paper cites Drop: A reading comprehension benchmark requiring discrete reasoning over paragraphs.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Drop: A reading comprehension benchmark requiring discrete reasoning over paragraphs

Reference 16

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Observation bfd72767-cbdc-4198-aad9-74f43d1e77d0 · outbound

This paper cites The Llama 3 Herd of Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation The Llama 3 Herd of Models

Reference 17

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Observation 7debad2f-c7a6-4d3a-98aa-4ffde8f26d3c · outbound

This paper cites Open llm leaderboard v2.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Open llm leaderboard v2

Reference 18

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.668985Z digest=sha256:1831a3400ecf16d4d52e9b759f10d39aa5e6313781b43f8238da1e98095337fd

Observation 7b6af821-46f4-4882-aa93-fa37548a0574 · outbound

This paper cites Language models scale reliably with over-training and on downstream tasks.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Language models scale reliably with over-training and on downstream tasks

Reference 19

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Observation caa45890-2edc-4fcc-8a50-4ad35b422e7a · outbound

This paper cites The Pile: An 800GB Dataset of Diverse Text for Language Modeling.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation The Pile: An 800GB Dataset of Diverse Text for Language Modeling

Reference 20

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.676181Z digest=sha256:09601f6222f3cfe32af11bafcdc0951b35d7056dfca16d34bc2cb64d7ca9290f

Observation 6c1b5926-b73b-485e-8ead-9f20cf4e7070 · outbound

This paper cites Are We Done with MMLU?.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Are We Done with MMLU?

Reference 21

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.679877Z digest=sha256:6a7a0d81346357dc2d959ab9c3d0a77e4f0ac710c57c3507ba3639886878007a

Observation eacdda79-bdab-4511-b107-0f9eb807efe3 · outbound

This paper cites OLMES: A Standard for Language Model Evaluations.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation OLMES: A Standard for Language Model Evaluations

Reference 22

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Observation 6fff7c1b-047d-497e-a0e2-c18809fa2ee9 · outbound

This paper cites Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding

Reference 23

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Observation e42f60ea-7c58-44ff-bc85-99b4c3a4d298 · outbound

This paper cites Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models

Reference 24

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Observation 759da69e-87db-4833-8e14-b6a9b1819c95 · outbound

This paper cites Compression Represents Intelligence Linearly.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Compression Represents Intelligence Linearly

Reference 25

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Observation b0faf913-cc1d-4d17-8d23-7038fcbda701 · outbound

This paper cites Triviaqa: A large scale distantly supervised challenge dataset for reading comprehension.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Triviaqa: A large scale distantly supervised challenge dataset for reading comprehension

Reference 26

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

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Observation c92b553a-ee50-4228-a748-5a746c658b45 · outbound

This paper cites Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models

Reference 27

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Observation 09caf088-d013-419e-b24f-aabf172c6bd2 · outbound

This paper cites Natural questions: A benchmark for question answering research.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Natural questions: A benchmark for question answering research

Reference 28

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.706024Z digest=sha256:b63b548aae33e53033bc035d063b8fb04ea05137e61a4fd62455c66b2532a26c

Observation 6fcf2374-916f-40f2-92c3-b7af8d0e773c · outbound

This paper cites Finetasks: Finding signal in a haystack of 200+ multilingual tasks, 2024.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Finetasks: Finding signal in a haystack of 200+ multilingual tasks, 2024

Reference 29

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.709638Z digest=sha256:09449f840ede8193f650228f18f7bbe1f5aa7be99ff4b0d19a87162089c88646

Observation 65d90a86-b989-419c-92b8-db89f68b9bff · outbound

This paper cites Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Models

Reference 30

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.713094Z digest=sha256:c0c010ea6b54b7ee7962ac97e07f2bb47f66eac10474e71c6265ecc92137c56a

Observation 98757a67-a984-4d43-b884-dd5987894c53 · outbound

This paper cites Datacomp-lm: In search of the next generation of training sets for language models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Datacomp-lm: In search of the next generation of training sets for language models

Reference 31

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.716687Z digest=sha256:823dee8ebbeed9532579aeed245c381574b8a8d64d538551428bc6e4926a2ff3

Observation aa6ef03c-ca95-4aad-8484-a58bc1bed9f9 · outbound

This paper cites AutoBencher: Towards Declarative Benchmark Construction.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation AutoBencher: Towards Declarative Benchmark Construction

Reference 32

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.720504Z digest=sha256:82aa77974121a3a74cb0895215aeab54b085ea06394b2ff4b3d269213b75f85c

Observation e98de564-0e70-4497-adb2-4db9a41f2a3f · outbound

This paper cites Holistic Evaluation of Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Holistic Evaluation of Language Models

Reference 33

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.724061Z digest=sha256:823ccea90a2744e44e6afaf0c691105fba46f138e6b9f972b5fbca4e4e97d212

Observation c82f593d-909f-402b-8ef2-7b9b487607c0 · outbound

This paper cites Is your code generated by chatgpt really correct? rigorous evaluation of large language models for code generation.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Is your code generated by chatgpt really correct? rigorous evaluation of large language models for code generation

Reference 34

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.727477Z digest=sha256:0dcc9f8aace601fbb6d491ae85f28a7f2cbf5b9ffc940f20db6169e4f62bbcd7

Observation 43ea5e26-5e14-4592-b5f7-3f0a0caa4e0f · outbound

This paper cites RegMix: Data Mixture as Regression for Language Model Pre-training.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation RegMix: Data Mixture as Regression for Language Model Pre-training

Reference 35

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.730725Z digest=sha256:d6b159330af82f336215d83962661f0c8cee16726f7a1e1e89ff0e28919342b5

Observation f30632b9-3531-4029-9b0c-61a24be3029f · outbound

This paper cites Quantifying Variance in Evaluation Benchmarks.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Quantifying Variance in Evaluation Benchmarks

Reference 36

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.734304Z digest=sha256:55f33caa74e2b53ca5f6ee3c311231859c9e9cbab6b9f20ab9a071c9a22e81f0

Observation baa20cb0-0ce7-45a0-8161-c2b529ff449b · outbound

This paper cites Paloma: A Benchmark for Evaluating Language Model Fit.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Paloma: A Benchmark for Evaluating Language Model Fit

Reference 37

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.737675Z digest=sha256:8de50e22c2c252792885e3f2b201c86858aa33ae81e1f9031d80cdf55b17c287

Observation a67e8339-a73f-44f7-ac98-7979e9858feb · outbound

This paper cites Hwang, Luca Soldaini, Akshita Bhagia, Jiacheng Liu, Dirk Groeneveld, Oyvind Tafjord, Noah A.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Hwang, Luca Soldaini, Akshita Bhagia, Jiacheng Liu, Dirk Groeneveld, Oyvind Tafjord, Noah A

Reference 38

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.741476Z digest=sha256:11a402c82befa5d1fca2cc4c1f5ad522fead960b19a12fc52e8545a2e72a1e44

Observation 2c6cce69-e09c-4b38-8ec7-892d8b10648d · outbound

This paper cites Can a suit of armor conduct electricity? a new dataset for open book question answering.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Can a suit of armor conduct electricity? a new dataset for open book question answering

Reference 39

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.745035Z digest=sha256:1e2784f9e47eb3e249f7906e58200bb0cc9718aa3ce25b6f874f2e4943793fbc

Observation 2b0035f8-99b7-4487-a703-a34fe4963d10 · outbound

This paper cites Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Adding Error Bars to Evals: A Statistical Approach to Language Model Evaluations

Reference 40

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.748522Z digest=sha256:1c4f720b6fc821c787b8eb081d0674f1cf74d4ea4ee27cc00d8a362117bf60c0

Observation 838eefdc-f0c6-4ddd-9cd8-1d4b4a766fee · outbound

This paper cites GSM-Symbolic: Understanding the Limitations of Mathematical Reasoning in Large Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation GSM-Symbolic: Understanding the Limitations of Mathematical Reasoning in Large Language Models

Reference 41

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.752982Z digest=sha256:a0af0da5163786b66515b4d719f6b26ee1359071a51c554b0094bc13b91ef812

Observation 617c3e2f-5a1d-4520-a575-3613e1b2bccf · outbound

This paper cites 2 OLMo 2 Furious.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation 2 OLMo 2 Furious

Reference 42

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.757147Z digest=sha256:9af265870792bddd8a3408b2b91177170d59b18040170a9309fed09d086ed752

Observation 95ab2b1f-7a23-473b-b5df-61ae2d3b73fc · outbound

This paper cites Medmcqa: A large-scale multi-subject multi-choice dataset for medical domain question answering.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Medmcqa: A large-scale multi-subject multi-choice dataset for medical domain question answering

Reference 43

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.517487Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.760881Z digest=sha256:7d33c74ecab7a610166110eca1d343fdb853b9ac2a224ad5d7278293719464f1

Observation 27abd2b6-a631-4563-bf5d-8cddd35aee25 · outbound

This paper cites Reconciling Kaplan and Chinchilla Scaling Laws.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Reconciling Kaplan and Chinchilla Scaling Laws

Reference 44

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.764274Z digest=sha256:2ed412193f0ac64eff139acf03d15ee39e216c5eefbbc733c620892e3c00a514

Observation 2a652f7d-4536-4514-8b40-cfeab25c0d00 · outbound

This paper cites tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examples.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examples

Reference 45

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.769157Z digest=sha256:f5ddb7c69b0664c653c78c27296faa39475b385ae43ab0c928c2115ffd9111f7

Observation cb7de8f9-3a79-4321-8963-74a5d054c843 · outbound

This paper cites VarBench: Robust Language Model Benchmarking Through Dynamic Variable Perturbation.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation VarBench: Robust Language Model Benchmarking Through Dynamic Variable Perturbation

Reference 46

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.773082Z digest=sha256:e6273927918a9f45b07595f0b583b3c69fc491a4c5f9d46c980a99c44afd8d2e

Observation ee5b7608-cf6c-42c0-a1c5-5987eb979b4f · outbound

This paper cites Squad: 100,000+ questions for machine comprehension of text.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Squad: 100,000+ questions for machine comprehension of text

Reference 47

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.776888Z digest=sha256:1e101b05e17714dc5d613383bd0f777a97e3c63f77f17099bd19089dcf3a0c9d

Observation 5eec718c-2a99-4bbf-be7c-768780257b2a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Unresolved cited work

Reference 48

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.780378Z digest=sha256:78ad9c18ee58d370bc891166d226c450a263e9d9d2cae2e02728a8d8ce3124b3

Observation cc21d9c2-fd19-4815-bfeb-ed14ac6b8347 · outbound

This paper cites GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark

Reference 49

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.784311Z digest=sha256:f30b2942f9eaf4d1a095bf1290a880d812c039c17d374586c377ee8f58cca01b

Observation 7392c061-e889-4e90-8d64-3eed331ce2fe · outbound

This paper cites Compute Optimal Scaling of Skills: Knowledge vs Reasoning.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Compute Optimal Scaling of Skills: Knowledge vs Reasoning

Reference 50

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.788592Z digest=sha256:1f7b04ed213771d0940211f01f3cf569a9bb0fef41328592f4e4afcf93ee1e49

Observation a4d2d35a-d8a7-4a6f-aa61-f6a0224d030c · outbound

This paper cites Observational scaling laws and the predictability of langauge model performance.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Observational scaling laws and the predictability of langauge model performance

Reference 51

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.484796Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.792266Z digest=sha256:8b678a460783f27a439d73c7deb5dc046870b86f44936153fa0fe6fa19dde532

Observation 32ddd0d9-6f4d-4ce6-bf56-80815b7030da · outbound

This paper cites Winogrande: An adversarial winograd schema challenge at scale.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Winogrande: An adversarial winograd schema challenge at scale

Reference 52

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.465361Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.796613Z digest=sha256:9b6a1d6cceae08653019c60d3200b5d0239f0615c1fee3cea24ff36fd538afd2

Observation c0a280ef-0a83-49ee-92a1-93eeeb8c8f34 · outbound

This paper cites Social iqa: Commonsense reasoning about social interactions.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Social iqa: Commonsense reasoning about social interactions

Reference 53

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.452734Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.800208Z digest=sha256:24ed6ff133e3d2c5013b9edd22c74ff5adaa350089a9bff544182a628655e7a9

Observation 39f6ecb1-ebb6-4953-90e6-af124b5c14eb · outbound

This paper cites Why Has Predicting Downstream Capabilities of Frontier AI Models with Scale Remained Elusive?.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Why Has Predicting Downstream Capabilities of Frontier AI Models with Scale Remained Elusive?

Reference 54

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.804001Z digest=sha256:7b7c2604d3c36303fe99ec95bb39f1fd923b9173b3a6a4feabc60e649faa417c

Observation 685cb3a3-87e0-4fc2-8c59-257766f9a5a6 · outbound

This paper cites Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting

Reference 55

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.808213Z digest=sha256:51c1e2d7cce1eb96669c9735829ac0a39f39d6005b88f3c28b46b390ee04dc4a

Observation 04727587-5435-47c6-9a54-2a8a9b07f2fd · outbound

This paper cites Predictive Data Selection: The Data That Predicts Is the Data That Teaches.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Predictive Data Selection: The Data That Predicts Is the Data That Teaches

Reference 56

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.812208Z digest=sha256:a1f3f515d5d7cc923503e29e4ce4f8ef8fc280be7f31da3b5bdfd7febb277e37

Observation 6ee9b21c-bb66-41d5-bc41-4c5df5b00050 · outbound

This paper cites Predicting Emergent Capabilities by Finetuning.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Predicting Emergent Capabilities by Finetuning

Reference 57

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local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:06.992504Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.816340Z digest=sha256:15e36a550011be839dcf81b3b81c269739afad5cb857ddc13819fe118490d5b4

Observation eb372f24-0521-4aaa-b5ff-3b5628717d1e · outbound

This paper cites Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models

Reference 58

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.821162Z digest=sha256:a870f09d651199196ebeb5724fc41687f1cc75592205e09af030a0ac2cdcc79c

Observation 8ef02911-d648-40d4-bcdf-fdbbcd2c706e · outbound

This paper cites Commonsenseqa: A question answering challenge targeting commonsense knowledge.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Commonsenseqa: A question answering challenge targeting commonsense knowledge

Reference 59

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.439453Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.825725Z digest=sha256:7a2e47eed94cdb116b9b4a22e28f7e92c8538ecf9fcfa4cf28418cd1ce919bff

Observation 372e5ce7-554d-48dd-98f9-629558701eda · outbound

This paper cites Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models

Reference 60

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.829382Z digest=sha256:0b8ccd6f93ebe48dffd4f83bc13ddcd85c5b87cc039d126ec76db1e868b7e092

Observation ed837778-35c6-4578-94e9-b864220a6874 · outbound

This paper cites 200,000+ jeopardy! questions.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation 200,000+ jeopardy! questions

Reference 61

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.426367Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.833155Z digest=sha256:788d9495c6aba9d668da7e004013199098e89908d4ee83e31e4f557040a90b5a

Observation a4dd801b-6fec-4047-856c-bb21901d5adb · outbound

This paper cites Do Large Language Model Benchmarks Test Reliability?.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Do Large Language Model Benchmarks Test Reliability?

Reference 62

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.836637Z digest=sha256:809dc3374c0adfa80e79256eff782c906563c8d0d82987f5c841eb789af93841

Observation 8e3817de-6df9-4aa0-b7b4-89753cc2fb02 · outbound

This paper cites Wang, Alex Gu, Lovish Madaan, Dieuwke Hupkes, Jiawei Liu, Yuxiang Wei, Naman Jain, Yuhang Lai, Sten Sootla, Ofir Press, Baptiste Rozière, and Gabriel Synnaeve.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Wang, Alex Gu, Lovish Madaan, Dieuwke Hupkes, Jiawei Liu, Yuxiang Wei, Naman Jain, Yuhang Lai, Sten Sootla, Ofir Press, Baptiste Rozière, and Gabriel Synnaeve

Reference 63

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:07.412450Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.840271Z digest=sha256:15618a685b7165f6c8aef997b4591e72be021d86d77eb00ca3b8a85de42baa5f

Observation 1366c2c9-b3ff-4405-befe-c5117d9a1edf · outbound

This paper cites Mmlu-pro: A more robust and challenging multi-task language understanding benchmark.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Mmlu-pro: A more robust and challenging multi-task language understanding benchmark

Reference 64

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.843954Z digest=sha256:3040d7125e295c04e138e2fbf4b2f67ef326a74e0f2069c10529f74fe77f892d

Observation 7ee62304-b34c-4477-b14b-5f925c0dd973 · outbound

This paper cites Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models

Reference 65

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.847630Z digest=sha256:a1e21a77b72ccdaefa0841cd73d58f12786b84590384ae1276bc5bc5c293eaf8

Observation 7baf326e-4d8a-48b6-8546-a51bfaddc91e · outbound

This paper cites Organize the Web: Constructing Domains Enhances Pre-Training Data Curation.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Organize the Web: Constructing Domains Enhances Pre-Training Data Curation

Reference 66

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.851539Z digest=sha256:acbafcb476c19549e0c6084615a9a025e4c796ed63e1871dd8cfd5e2e03fb9af

Observation 2cd86841-44aa-4f4a-8e0c-0c1f4b79bc3d · outbound

This paper cites Answer, Assemble, Ace: Understanding How LMs Answer Multiple Choice Questions.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Answer, Assemble, Ace: Understanding How LMs Answer Multiple Choice Questions

Reference 67

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.855163Z digest=sha256:c7f6017e69ff6f2b2adf6f01d67f253cd1ec2ae5d1a327031c7014648ad63fb5

Observation e4ece66d-d26b-492a-9649-4306861d56fc · outbound

This paper cites Tensor Programs V: Tuning Large Neural Networks via Zero-Shot Hyperparameter Transfer.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Tensor Programs V: Tuning Large Neural Networks via Zero-Shot Hyperparameter Transfer

Reference 68

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.858923Z digest=sha256:e8b858b23dd128aa6b062cf43223becc68839506dda156b17ad559e2d76aa343

Observation 8d8b5102-915b-4c9c-99ad-3fa46c50b6de · outbound

This paper cites Hellaswag: Can a machine really finish your sentence? In Proceedings of the 57th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 4791–4800, 2019.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation Hellaswag: Can a machine really finish your sentence? In Proceedings of the 57th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 4791–4800, 2019

Reference 69

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.862717Z digest=sha256:00d1f4e102ee87e25710a8955bcfa93f460a3e2b18165e0f37712c7b10a2e099

Observation 7828047d-0797-4a6d-9b9a-37881801c231 · outbound

This paper cites AGIEval: A Human-Centric Benchmark for Evaluating Foundation Models.

Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation AGIEval: A Human-Centric Benchmark for Evaluating Foundation Models

Reference 70

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-15T17:21:06.866133Z

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-15T17:21:06.866133Z digest=sha256:e483fa68d5a35a47b3559d5c80631fee9a499a1b2a327a66df85477658808991

Pith citing papers

Observation 5836d679-f4c9-4ecd-9e88-f0cc6685728c · inbound

Item Response Scaling Laws: A Measurement Theory Approach for Efficient and Generalizable Neural Scaling Estimation cites this paper.

Item Response Scaling Laws: A Measurement Theory Approach for Efficient and Generalizable Neural Scaling Estimation Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation

Reference 11

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-28T22:52:45.619149Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T22:48:20.193699Z digest=sha256:d049d0bdb6eb4d4b96fffa3ac0b2220cb23fd108f9c40418bc2911d6141e8a0b

Observation e143dbd7-b379-4fcb-8923-851e2092691d · inbound

Rank Intervals for Leaderboards: A Hierarchical Framework for Model Evaluation cites this paper.

Rank Intervals for Leaderboards: A Hierarchical Framework for Model Evaluation Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation

Reference 21

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-02T23:47:27.667294Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-27T17:54:22.974336Z digest=sha256:46749190559cdbaf1c409694d24b93085eca012dfd6264cfd002c90bf4ab762b

Observation 28aed6d8-f367-48d4-94ae-562d17e30cdc · inbound

DataComp-VLM: Improved Open Datasets for Vision-Language Models cites this paper.

DataComp-VLM: Improved Open Datasets for Vision-Language Models Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation

Reference 97

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-01T15:45:47.697916Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-17T06:30:58.91139+00:00.

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DataComp-VLM: Improved Open Datasets for Vision-Language Models cites this paper.

DataComp-VLM: Improved Open Datasets for Vision-Language Models Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation

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Deployment Decision Reliability: A Generalizability-Theory Framework for Sizing Long-Horizon Agent Evaluations cites this paper.

Deployment Decision Reliability: A Generalizability-Theory Framework for Sizing Long-Horizon Agent Evaluations Signal and Noise: A Framework for Reducing Uncertainty in Language Model Evaluation

Reference 1972

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